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Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV NBCSCH, SNW·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Johnny Gaudreau's goal at 0:54 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 47% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 5.3 to 3.3; shots on goal were CGY 43, CHI 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. David Rittich stopped 32 of 35 (.914); Collin Delia stopped 39 of 42 (.929), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Johnny Gaudreau (2 G), 2. Patrick Kane (1 G, 1 A), 3. Sean Monahan (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau2 G
  2. ★★
    CHI
    P. Kane1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    S. Monahan1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY11619218443
CHICHI112112111335

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.43win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:24
  2. CHI
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:34

2nd period

  1. CHI
    slapxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    5:07
  2. CGY
    S. Monahan(23)PPG
    snapxG 0.17win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    18:42

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.12win prob +25 pts
    3-2
    0:54
  2. CGY
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.74win prob +6 pts
    4-2
    19:10
  3. CHI
    B. Saad(12)PPG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +1 pts
    4-3
    19:31

Penalties

CGY 6 PIM·CHI 8 PIM

1st

  • 12:36CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Collin Delia2 min

2nd

  • 7:08CGYNoah Hanifin · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Strome2 min
  • 7:39CHIDylan Strome · Trippingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min
  • 12:35CHIDylan Strome · Trippingdrawn by TJ Brodie2 min
  • 17:49CHIErik Gustafsson · Holding the stickdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min

3rd

  • 1:35CHIDylan Strome · Hookingdrawn by Travis Hamonic2 min
  • 17:38CGYMikael Backlund · Trippingdrawn by Brent Seabrook2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalCGY goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Johnny Gaudreau, 3rd 0:54 — CGY 47% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.23D. Caggiula · Missed · xG 0.17P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.17B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.17M. Kruger · On goal · xG 0.14P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.13D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.12B. Perlini · Missed · xG 0.12B. Perlini · On goal · xG 0.12D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.12A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.11B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.11P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.10B. Seabrook · On goal · xG 0.10A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.10D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.09D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.09M. Kruger · On goal · xG 0.09D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.09A. Anisimov · Missed · xG 0.09D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.08J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.08E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.06B. Saad · Goal · xG 0.06B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.05C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.05D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.05D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.04D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.04B. Davidson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.03D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.02D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.02C. Dahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kruger · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Perlini · Missed · xG 0.01C. Dahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.01B. Seabrook · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI3 G · 3.3 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsCHI
5.33 G
All situations
3 G3.3
3.42 G
Even strength
2 G3.0
1.21 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY67%33%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.38 – 3.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsCHI
43
Shots on goal
35
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
17
16
Blocked shots
14
5
Giveaways
8
12
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD011+160.14110—25:45
24T. HamonicD000-230.03050—24:54
7T. BrodieD000+310.02010—24:20
28E. LindholmC022+230.333103621:36
55N. HanifinD000020.06002—21:06
23S. MonahanC112+2101.362005419:45
13J. GaudreauL202+240.89000—18:41
11M. BacklundC000-220.341225017:45
19M. TkachukL011-210.12002—17:35
93S. BennettC000-200.07100014:42
77M. JankowskiL000010.180105013:26
27A. CzarnikC000010.09010013:06
4R. AnderssonD000000.00110—13:00
18J. NealL000030.43020—12:59
10D. RyanC000+140.381006712:26
67M. FrolikR000010.12300—09:33
21G. HathawayR101+110.74200—07:05
58O. KylingtonD000000.00010—06:28
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(W)35323.9143.29+0.2959:55

Season series

CGY leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).