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Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV NHLN-US, NBCSCH·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Derek Ryan's goal at 8:44 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 65% to 83%. Expected goals were close — CGY 2.7, CHI 2.5; shots on goal were CGY 41, CHI 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Corey Crawford stopped 38 of 41 (.927). Three stars: 1. Derek Ryan (1 G), 2. Sean Monahan (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jonathan Toews (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    D. Ryan1 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    S. Monahan1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    J. Toews1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY118211012341
CHICHI1611008224

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:07
  2. CHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    11:33

2nd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.02win prob +6 pts
    2-1
    7:18
  2. CGY
    D. Ryan(4)PPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    8:44
  3. CHI
    D. Strome(5)PPG
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    3-2
    15:45

Penalties

CGY 15 PIM·CHI 28 PIM

1st

  • 2:49CHIChris Kunitz · Slashingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 14:57CGYTJ Brodie · Hookingdrawn by David Kampf2 min
  • 18:42CHIBrandon Manning · Roughingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 18:42CGYSam Bennett · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Manning2 min

2nd

  • 0:47CGYSam Bennett · Interferencedrawn by Jan Rutta2 min
  • 7:08CHIChris Kunitz · Elbowingdrawn by Travis Hamonic5 min
  • 7:08CHIChris Kunitz · Game misconductdrawn by Travis Hamonic10 min
  • 14:35CGYJames Neal · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Corey Crawford2 min
  • 19:02CGYRasmus Andersson · Cross checkingdrawn by Dominik Kahun2 min

3rd

  • 4:22CHIBrandon Manning · Fightingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway5 min
  • 4:22CGYGarnet Hathaway · Fightingdrawn by Brandon Manning5 min
  • 5:01CHIGustav Forsling · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:44CHIJan Rutta · Trippingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalCGY goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Derek Ryan, 2nd 8:44 — CGY 65% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.25A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.23D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.21A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.15P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.14D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.13J. Toews · Goal · xG 0.13D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.11D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.11P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.10A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.10D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.10P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.09A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.07D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.06A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.06A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.05A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.05D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.05A. Fortin · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.03A. Anisimov · Missed · xG 0.03J. Rutta · Missed · xG 0.02D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.02B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kruger · On goal · xG 0.00B. Seabrook · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI2 G · 2.5 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsCHI
2.73 G
All situations
2 G2.5
2.01 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.82 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY53%47%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.69 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsCHI
41
Shots on goal
24
43%
Faceoffs
57%
2/6
Power play
1/4
15
Penalty minutes
28
21
Hits
17
19
Blocked shots
10
9
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD000040.11440—25:45
55N. HanifinD011010.02220—23:13
24T. HamonicD000020.02130—22:02
13J. GaudreauL022050.17000—20:57
7T. BrodieD000020.11002—20:42
11M. BacklundC000000.082206720:13
23S. MonahanC112050.521003620:10
28E. LindholmC112050.381001418:29
19M. TkachukL000030.16200—16:34
93S. BennettC000010.11214016:04
10D. RyanC101030.201005815:27
18J. NealL011040.56002—12:53
77M. JankowskiL000000.000203811:12
4R. AnderssonD000000.00022—11:07
21G. HathawayR000010.03225—09:41
58O. KylingtonD000010.04010—09:16
88A. MangiapaneL000030.19100—08:53
56R. LombergL000010.05200—08:17
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(W)24222.9172.51+0.5159:55

Season series

CGY leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).