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Blackhawks at Flames
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
3
Calgary Flames
▸5
FinalTV NBCSCH, CBC·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-3. The Flames came back from two goals down. The Blackhawks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Frolik's goal at 15:05 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 52% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.8 to 2.0; shots on goal were CHI 15, CGY 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Corey Crawford stopped 36 of 40 (.900); David Rittich stopped 12 of 15 (.800), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sean Monahan (2 G), 2. Johnny Gaudreau (2 A), 3. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    S. Monahan2 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau2 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Tkachuk1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI251604315
CGYCGY19112320541

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    S. Monahan(7)PPG
    J. Gaudreau (12), E. Lindholm (6)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +6 pts
    0-1
    4:46
  2. CHI
    J. Toews(8)PPG
    P. Kane (8), B. Seabrook (6)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    13:57
  3. CHI
    J. Rutta(1)
    A. Martinsen (1), A. Fortin (2)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    19:33

2nd period

  1. CHI
    B. Saad(4)
    A. DeBrincat (7), H. Jokiharju (8)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    12:41
  2. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(6)
    T. Hamonic (1), M. Backlund (7)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    18:26

3rd period

  1. CGY
    S. Monahan(8)
    J. Gaudreau (13), E. Lindholm (7)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +37 pts
    3-3
    13:59
  2. CGY
    M. Frolik(7)
    S. Bennett (2), N. Hanifin (4)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +38 pts
    3-4
    15:05
  3. CGY
    M. Backlund(3)EN
    E. Lindholm (8)
    backhandxG 0.30win prob +6 pts
    3-5
    19:01

Penalties

CHI 17 PIM·CGY 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:14CHIDuncan Keith · Boardingdrawn by Dillon Dube5 min
  • 2:14CHIDuncan Keith · Game misconduct10 min
  • 12:46CGYMichael Frolik · Trippingdrawn by Brent Seabrook2 min
  • 13:36CGYTravis Hamonic · Holdingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min

2nd

  • 1:16CGYDavid Rittich · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 2:13CHIAndreas Martinsen · Trippingdrawn by Sean Monahan2 min
  • 18:15CGYMark Giordano · Trippingdrawn by Brent Seabrook2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalCHI goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Michael Frolik, 3rd 15:05 — CGY 52% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.30E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.20E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.19E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.16M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.16T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.13S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.13S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.13S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.12M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.11M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.11E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.11T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.11J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.11M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.10J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.09J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.09S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.08E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.08J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.08J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.08J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.08M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.07E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.07G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.07M. Frolik · Goal · xG 0.06M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.06M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.05M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.05R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.04M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.04J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.00S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.00M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY5 G · 3.8 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsCGY
2.03 G
All situations
4 G3.8
1.82 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.21 G
Power play
1 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI26%74%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.00 – 3.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsCGY
15
Shots on goal
41
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/4
Power play
1/3
17
Penalty minutes
8
6
Hits
5
14
Blocked shots
8
10
Giveaways
30
15
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. SeabrookD011010.05040—26:48
28H. JokiharjuD011-210.39000—25:29
56E. GustafssonD000010.04020—25:07
23B. ManningD000-200.01020—21:34
88P. KaneR011-200.00000—19:53
20B. SaadL101010.30100—19:14
19J. ToewsC101030.180106118:55
8N. SchmaltzC000-110.12010018:24
15A. AnisimovC000-200.020101118:09
12A. DeBrincatR011020.31010—17:33
44J. RuttaD101+110.02010—16:56
16M. KrugerC000000.021006413:45
24D. KahunC000010.17000012:17
64D. KampfC000-100.150002510:59
84A. FortinL011020.151005010:29
29A. MartinsenL011-110.04212—08:52
14C. KunitzL000-100.04100—08:03
2D. KeithD000000.000015—00:37
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50C. Crawford(L)40364.9003.51-0.4958:09

Season series

CGY leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).