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Stars at Jets
NHL

Dallas Stars at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
1
Winnipeg Jets
▸5
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-SW·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Dallas Stars 5-1. The Stars scored first; the Jets answered. The Jets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Myers's goal at 18:56 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.0 to 2.0; shots on goal were DAL 27, WPG 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Ben Bishop stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.4 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Adam Lowry (1 G), 2. Tyler Myers (1 G), 3. Kyle Connor (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    A. Lowry1 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    T. Myers1 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL0911404127
WPGWPG01325312530

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. DAL
    A. Radulov(14)PPG
    J. Klingberg (13), T. Seguin (24)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:56
  2. WPG
    A. Lowry(7)
    B. Tanev (7), M. Perreault (8)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    2:56
  3. WPG
    T. Myers(4)
    P. Laine (8), B. Little (15)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.03win prob +22 pts
    1-2
    18:56

3rd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(14)
    B. Wheeler (45), J. Morrissey (19)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    1:15
  2. WPG
    J. Morrissey(5)EN
    J. Trouba (14), M. Scheifele (28)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    16:30
  3. WPG
    B. Little(7)PPG
    J. Roslovic (7), J. Trouba (15)
    snapxG 0.16
    1-5
    19:42

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·WPG 6 PIM

2nd

  • 1:05WPGAdam Lowry · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Ben Bishop2 min

3rd

  • 2:42WPGMathieu Perreault · High stickingdrawn by John Klingberg2 min
  • 12:21DALRadek Faksa · Holdingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min
  • 14:27DALTaylor Fedun · Trippingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min
  • 14:37WPGKyle Connor · Hookingdrawn by Blake Comeau2 min
  • 18:03DALRoman Polak · Boardingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalDAL goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Myers, 2nd 18:56 — WPG 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Morrissey · Goal · xG 0.34A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.29P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.21B. Little · Goal · xG 0.16M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.14B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.14J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.12P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.12K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.11J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.10M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.09P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.09P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.08B. Little · Missed · xG 0.08J. Morrow · Missed · xG 0.08A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.07B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.06J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.06J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · Goal · xG 0.03M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.02B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.00P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.00A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.00B. Little · On goal · xG 0.00B. Little · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG5 G · 3.0 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsWPG
2.01 G
All situations
4 G3.0
1.60 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL37%63%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.96 – 2.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsWPG
27
Shots on goal
30
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
23
11
Blocked shots
12
10
Giveaways
10
2
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. KlingbergD011-130.07200—25:26
23E. LindellD000-130.05000—24:07
4M. HeiskanenD000-210.07000—21:32
91T. SeguinC011-220.031206720:01
47A. RadulovR101-230.21110—19:29
45R. PolakD000-200.00122—19:11
12R. FaksaC000-130.310124416:54
14J. BennL000-200.030005016:53
15B. ComeauL000-100.00400—16:30
13M. JanmarkC000-130.23100015:06
42T. FedunD000-220.01102—14:39
18T. PitlickC000-210.17100013:36
90J. SpezzaC000-130.280003313:27
17D. ShoreC000000.25110012:39
27E. CondraR000020.18010—12:01
24R. HintzC000-110.070205711:59
6J. HonkaD000000.01010—11:27
25B. RitchieR000000.00500—10:28
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30B. Bishop(L)29254.8622.64-1.3658:56

Season series

DAL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).