Dallas Stars at Winnipeg Jets
Recap
written from the game dataThe Dallas Stars beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-2. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Esa Lindell's goal at 10:27 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 4.7 to 1.8; shots on goal were DAL 37, WPG 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Ben Bishop stopped 21 of 23 (.913); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Seguin (2 G), 2. Ben Bishop (21 saves, .913), 3. Kyle Connor (1 G, 1 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals2nd period
1-010:27
2-012:23
3-015:16
3rd period
4-010:34
4-111:03
4-215:10
5-219:20
Penalties
1st
- 1:38
Brett Ritchie · Roughingdrawn by Sami Niku2 min
2nd
- 7:13
Patrik Laine · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
- 13:43
Dmitry Kulikov · Holdingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min
- 14:37
served by M. Perreault · Too many men on the ice2 min
3rd
- 8:47
Kyle Connor · Interferencedrawn by Alexander Radulov2 min
- 14:16
Radek Faksa · High stickingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Esa Lindell, 2nd 10:27 — 47% → 66%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.74 G
- All situations
- 2 G1.8
- 1.62 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.3
- 0.92 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.4
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 1.83
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 37
- Shots on goal
- 23
- 47%
- Faceoffs
- 53%
- 2/4
- Power play
- 1/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 20
- Hits
- 30
- 9
- Blocked shots
- 20
- 16
- Giveaways
- 17
- 6
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
