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Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-0. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Toffoli's goal at 9:35 of the first period, which took the Kings' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals were close — EDM 1.7, LAK 1.7; shots on goal were EDM 16, LAK 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 14 of 15 (.933); Jonathan Quick stopped 16 of 16 (1.000), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Quick (16 saves, 1.000), 2. Drew Doughty (2 A), 3. Anze Kopitar (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    J. Quick16 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    LAK
    D. Doughty2 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM030706016
LAKLAK390915423

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:15
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    9:35
  3. LAK
    slapxG 0.05win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    13:57

3rd period

  1. LAK
    snapxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    0-4
    10:15

Penalties

EDM 20 PIM·LAK 10 PIM

2nd

  • 9:09EDMAlex Chiasson · Slashingdrawn by Nate Thompson2 min
  • 14:05LAKSean Walker · Interferencedrawn by Ty Rattie2 min
  • 18:52EDMAlexander Petrovic · Holding the stickdrawn by Kyle Clifford2 min

3rd

  • 5:38LAKJeff Carter · Trippingdrawn by Zack Kassian2 min
  • 12:51LAKJake Muzzin · Interferencedrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min
  • 16:17LAKBrendan Leipsic · Slashingdrawn by Milan Lucic2 min
  • 16:17EDMMilan Lucic · Slashingdrawn by Brendan Leipsic2 min
  • 16:17EDMMilan Lucic · Cross checkingdrawn by Brendan Leipsic2 min
  • 16:17EDMMilan Lucic · Misconduct10 min
  • 16:43LAKTyler Toffoli · Slashingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 16:43EDMDarnell Nurse · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalEDM goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Toffoli, 1st 9:35 — LAK 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.16I. Kovalchuk · On goal · xG 0.13K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.13J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.12K. Clifford · Goal · xG 0.11C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.11A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.10J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.09I. Kovalchuk · On goal · xG 0.09T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.08D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.06J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.06D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.05D. Phaneuf · Missed · xG 0.05A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.05J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.04I. Kovalchuk · Missed · xG 0.04A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.03B. Leipsic · On goal · xG 0.03S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.02D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.01D. Phaneuf · Missed · xG 0.01B. Leipsic · On goal · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.00A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.00B. Leipsic · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK4 G · 1.7 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsLAK
1.70 G
All situations
4 G1.7
1.10 G
Even strength
4 G1.3
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 59 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM48%52%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.67 – 1.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsLAK
16
Shots on goal
23
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/3
Power play
0/3
20
Penalty minutes
10
25
Hits
11
8
Blocked shots
15
6
Giveaways
11
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000-130.25312—23:24
82C. JonesD000-110.01120—23:12
97C. McDavidC000-140.570003823:11
29L. DraisaitlC000-120.260004622:37
6A. LarssonD000-110.03320—20:11
5K. GravelD000020.04100—19:51
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-210.222005417:49
39A. ChiassonR000000.00202—17:22
44Z. KassianR000-100.00200—16:29
16J. KhairaL000-210.070003314:52
26B. ManningD000-210.02010—14:24
15A. PetrovicD000-300.04522—14:11
8T. RattieR000000.00200—12:35
22T. RiederL000000.13000—11:27
28K. BrodziakC000-100.002002911:15
27M. LucicL000-100.001014—11:01
98J. PuljujarviR000-200.00100—10:22
23R. SpoonerC000-100.030005009:55
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot15141.9330.93-0.0745:55
19M. Koskinen(L)853.6250.81-2.1913:57

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).