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Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV KCOP-13, SNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Los Angeles Kings 8-4. The Kings scored first; the Oilers answered. The Oilers led 7-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zack Kassian's goal at 10:39 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 66% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.3 to 2.4; shots on goal were LAK 38, EDM 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.4 goals below expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 34 of 38 (.895), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (3 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (3 G), 3. Connor McDavid (1 G, 3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins3 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK112314012438
EDMEDM511211110832

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    A. Kopitar (33), D. Brown (26)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:10
  2. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    3:32
  3. EDM
    snapxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    4:36
  4. EDM
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    10:39
  5. EDM
    wristxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    1-4
    14:18
  6. EDM
    wristxG 0.04win prob +3 pts
    1-5
    19:48

2nd period

  1. LAK
    A. Kopitar (34), D. Brown (27)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    7:56
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.16win prob +3 pts
    2-6
    11:41
  3. EDM
    C. McDavid (72), D. Nurse (31)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +1 pts
    2-7
    14:38
  4. LAK
    D. Brown(21)PPG
    wristxG 0.02win prob +1 pts
    3-7
    16:52
  5. LAK
    wristxG 0.07win prob +2 pts
    4-7
    19:16

3rd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.14
    4-8
    18:29

Penalties

LAK 14 PIM·EDM 20 PIM

1st

  • 8:31EDMKyle Brodziak · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:19LAKDustin Brown · Trippingdrawn by Kris Russell2 min

2nd

  • 6:07EDMAdam Larsson · Trippingdrawn by Michael Amadio2 min
  • 6:34EDMZack Kassian · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:38EDMAndrej Sekera · Hookingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 17:32EDMMatt Benning · Cross checkingdrawn by Jeff Carter2 min
  • 17:32LAKJeff Carter · Slashingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min

3rd

  • 10:07LAKTrevor Lewis · Fightingdrawn by Kris Russell5 min
  • 10:07EDMKris Russell · Fightingdrawn by Trevor Lewis5 min
  • 15:43EDMZack Kassian · Fightingdrawn by Kyle Clifford5 min
  • 15:43LAKKyle Clifford · Fightingdrawn by Zack Kassian5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalLAK goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Zack Kassian, 1st 10:39 — EDM 66% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Cave · On goal · xG 0.17C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.16L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.14R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Kassian · Goal · xG 0.09A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Currie · Missed · xG 0.08A. Chiasson · Missed · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.08J. Gambardella · Missed · xG 0.07M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.07C. Cave · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Kassian · Missed · xG 0.06T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.06M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.05T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.05J. Currie · On goal · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.04R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.04J. Currie · On goal · xG 0.04R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.04J. Gambardella · Missed · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.03K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.02M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Sekera · Missed · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.02M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.01A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM8 G · 2.4 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsEDM
3.34 G
All situations
8 G2.4
2.62 G
Even strength
7 G2.4
0.72 G
Power play
1 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK65%35%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.32 – 2.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsEDM
38
Shots on goal
32
56%
Faceoffs
44%
2/4
Power play
1/1
14
Penalty minutes
20
36
Hits
21
10
Blocked shots
26
6
Giveaways
8
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD101-240.15330—23:16
73T. ToffoliC011-160.56100019:54
61S. WalkerD011020.02210—19:48
27A. MartinezD000-200.00310—19:43
3D. PhaneufD000-220.04310—19:05
38C. GrundstromR101-130.48500—18:52
11A. KopitarC033-230.460006118:06
23D. BrownR123-380.57102—17:58
24D. ForbortD000010.01110—17:54
9A. KempeR000000.090005717:51
77J. CarterC000-320.441125217:12
19A. IafalloL101-220.07200—15:08
13K. CliffordL000-110.02105—14:43
81M. RoyD000-300.00020—14:20
22T. LewisC000-210.07205013:24
10M. AmadioR011020.232006710:28
51A. WagnerL000-110.10600—10:22
76J. BrodzinskiC000-100.00300009:27
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell21183.8571.65-1.3540:00
32J. Quick(L)1165.5450.78-4.2220:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).