Skip to content
Islanders at Stars
NHL

New York Islanders at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸3
Dallas Stars
1
FinalTV FS-SW+, MSG+·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Dallas Stars 3-1. The Stars scored first; the Islanders answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anders Lee's goal at 8:50 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 53% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.9 to 1.1; shots on goal were NYI 28, DAL 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 19 of 20 (.950); Anton Khudobin stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anders Lee (1 G), 2. Nick Leddy (1 A), 3. Tyler Pitlick (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    A. Lee1 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    N. Leddy1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    T. Pitlick1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI0919210328
DALDAL071706120

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. DAL
    T. Pitlick(4)
    M. Janmark (10), J. Spezza (14)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    6:20
  2. NYI
    C. Cizikas(9)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    14:10

3rd period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(13)PPG
    N. Leddy (9), M. Barzal (24)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +26 pts
    2-1
    8:50
  2. NYI
    L. Komarov(4)EN
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.32win prob +5 pts
    3-1
    19:00

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·DAL 10 PIM

1st

  • 10:03DALAlexander Radulov · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
  • 13:33DALAlexander Radulov · Hookingdrawn by Joshua Ho-Sang2 min
  • 16:36NYIScott Mayfield · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Radulov2 min

2nd

  • 11:58DALAlexander Radulov · Roughingdrawn by Leo Komarov2 min
  • 11:58NYILeo Komarov · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Radulov2 min
  • 16:16NYILeo Komarov · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Radulov2 min
  • 16:16DALAlexander Radulov · Roughingdrawn by Leo Komarov2 min

3rd

  • 7:25DALRadek Faksa · Slashingdrawn by Josh Bailey2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalNYI goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Anders Lee, 3rd 8:50 — NYI 53% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Pitlick · Goal · xG 0.13J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.09T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.09M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.07D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.07J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.07T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.06B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.05J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.05A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.05T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.05M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.05T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.04T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.03R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.03G. Bayreuther · On goal · xG 0.03G. Bayreuther · Missed · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.01G. Bayreuther · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.01R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL1 G · 1.1 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsDAL
2.92 G
All situations
1 G1.1
1.91 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI78%22%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.57 – 1.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsDAL
28
Shots on goal
20
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/3
Power play
0/1
6
Penalty minutes
10
11
Hits
20
9
Blocked shots
14
11
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2N. LeddyD011010.07000—22:31
6R. PulockD000-140.07220—20:42
29B. NelsonC000000.060104119:52
24S. MayfieldD000+120.08012—19:49
13M. BarzalC011020.230006719:21
3A. PelechD000-120.03200—19:20
12J. BaileyR000020.250102018:55
27A. LeeL101+120.2010010018:50
25D. ToewsD000+130.04010—18:05
7J. EberleR000020.32110—18:04
21L. SbisaD000+220.08110—16:34
18A. BeauvillierR000010.56000—16:30
26J. Ho-SangR000-100.00000—13:43
47L. KomarovR101+210.3510410013:38
53C. CizikasC101+130.482005012:52
51V. FilppulaC000010.060003312:49
17M. MartinL000000.04000—09:09
15C. ClutterbuckR000000.00110—03:16
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40R. Lehner(W)20191.9501.13+0.1360:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).