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Dallas Stars at New York Islanders

FinalTV FS-SW, MSG+·Barclays Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the New York Islanders 6-2. The Islanders scored first; the Stars answered. The Stars led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Esa Lindell's goal at 7:08 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.5 to 2.8; shots on goal were DAL 33, NYI 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Ben Bishop stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Robin Lehner stopped 11 of 14 (.786), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alexander Radulov (2 G, 1 A), 2. Tyler Seguin (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jamie Benn (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    A. Radulov2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    T. Seguin1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Benn3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL01341129633
NYINYI113015111239

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:36

2nd period

  1. DAL
    T. Seguin (13), J. Benn (8)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    2:09
  2. DAL
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    4:40
  3. DAL
    slapxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    7:08
  4. DAL
    wristxG 0.17win prob +9 pts
    4-1
    14:07

3rd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.03win prob +8 pts
    4-2
    0:24
  2. DAL
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +5 pts
    5-2
    7:35
  3. DAL
    J. Benn (10), T. Seguin (14)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +1 pts
    6-2
    9:16

Penalties

DAL 4 PIM·NYI 6 PIM

1st

  • 14:39NYITom Kuhnhackl · Interferencedrawn by Alexander Radulov2 min

2nd

  • 7:21NYIThomas Hickey · High sticking double minordrawn by Blake Comeau4 min
  • 16:14DALRoman Polak · Slashingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min

3rd

  • 2:19DALEsa Lindell · Holding the stickdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalDAL goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Esa Lindell, 2nd 7:08 — DAL 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.17C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.15S. Gionta · On goal · xG 0.12M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.12R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.11T. Kuhnhackl · On goal · xG 0.11M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.11J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.11M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.10M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.10M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.10V. Filppula · On goal · xG 0.10B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.09M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.09R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.09A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.09M. Dal Colle · On goal · xG 0.09M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.07J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.06J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.06C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.05S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.04T. Hickey · On goal · xG 0.04R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03S. Mayfield · Goal · xG 0.03B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.03R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gionta · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hickey · Missed · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Boychuk · Missed · xG 0.01J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01L. Sbisa · On goal · xG 0.01L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.00L. Sbisa · On goal · xG 0.00B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.00S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.00J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.00L. Komarov · Missed · xG 0.00
NYI2 G · 2.8 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsNYI
3.56 G
All situations
2 G2.8
3.16 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL61%39%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.43 – 2.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsNYI
33
Shots on goal
39
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
24
11
Blocked shots
13
7
Giveaways
12
7
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23E. LindellD202+350.28112—22:58
4M. HeiskanenD000+130.35000—21:09
45R. PolakD000010.14122—20:12
44G. BayreutherD011+130.14220—19:11
12R. FaksaC000010.194003618:26
16J. DickinsonC011+110.112001317:22
13M. JanmarkC000010.10010017:04
91T. SeguinC123+250.560006016:54
47A. RadulovR213+340.38000—16:31
43V. NichushkinR000+120.28110—16:25
15B. ComeauL000000.001203316:24
90J. SpezzaC022+210.201005015:39
39J. HanleyD000+100.00000—15:26
14J. BennL033+320.37200—15:13
24R. HintzC101020.221006714:20
46G. SmithC000010.14120012:58
63B. GleasonD000000.00000—10:59
6J. HonkaD011+210.03000—08:49
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30B. Bishop(W)39372.9492.78+0.7860:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).