Jets at Canucks 1-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Winnipeg Jets

▸1

Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV SNP, CBC·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Vancouver Canucks 1-0. The Jets scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Scheifele's goal at 18:28 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 48% to 96%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.5 to 1.6; shots on goal were WPG 24, VAN 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Laurent Brossoit stopped 40 of 40 (1.000), 3.5 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Laurent Brossoit (40 saves, 1.000), 2. Mark Scheifele (1 G), 3. Jacob Markstrom (23 saves, .958).

Three stars

★
L. Brossoit40 saves, 1.000
★★
M. Scheifele1 G
★★★
J. Markstrom23 saves, .958

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
WPG	010	07	17	124
VAN	012	017	011	040

Scoring

1 goal

3rd period

M. Scheifele(22)
D. Byfuglien (24), B. Wheeler (43)
wristxG 0.08win prob +47 pts
1-0
18:28

Penalties

8 PIM·

6 PIM

1st

7:12Nikolay Goldobin · Trippingdrawn by Nic Petan2 min
11:45Bryan Little · Hookingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
18:23Chris Tanev · Boardingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

2nd

4:27Blake Wheeler · Trippingdrawn by Chris Tanev2 min
13:03Mathieu Perreault · Slashingdrawn by Derrick Pouliot2 min
20:00Antoine Roussel · Roughingdrawn by Dustin Byfuglien2 min
20:00Dustin Byfuglien · Roughingdrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: VAN

Biggest swing: Mark Scheifele, 3rd 18:28 — WPG 48% → 96%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 3.5 xG · 53 att

←

attacks

attacks →

1 G · 1.6 xG · 32 att VAN

0 G · 3.5 xG · 53 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

1.61 G
All situations: 0 G3.5; 1.41 G
Even strength: 0 G2.6; 0.20 G
Power play: 0 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

20%80%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.58 – 3.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

24
Shots on goal: 40; 50%
Faceoffs: 50%; 0/2
Power play: 0/3; 8
Penalty minutes: 6; 25
Hits: 19; 14
Blocked shots: 10; 3
Giveaways: 7; 5
Takeaways: 9

Box score

every player line

Winnipeg Jets skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
33D. ByfuglienD	0	1	1	+1	3	0.11	3	3	2	—	24:45
55M. ScheifeleC	1	0	1	+1	3	0.27	0	0	0	54	22:57
81K. ConnorL	0	0	0	0	3	0.31	0	0	0	—	21:09
8J. TroubaD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	—	21:09
44J. MorrisseyD	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	1	0	—	21:07
57T. MyersD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	2	2	0	—	20:38
26B. WheelerR	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	2	2	—	20:23
29P. LaineL	0	0	0	0	0	0.11	1	0	0	—	18:55
27N. EhlersL	0	0	0	+1	3	0.21	0	1	0	—	17:49
18B. LittleC	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	2	50	16:09
7B. ChiarotD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	0	0	—	15:29
5D. KulikovD	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	3	1	0	—	14:13
13B. TanevL	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	3	0	0	—	12:05
85M. PerreaultC	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	2	1	2	0	11:51
28J. RoslovicC	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	1	1	0	43	11:23
82M. AppletonC	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	4	0	0	0	08:32
48B. LemieuxL	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	1	0	0	—	06:47
19N. PetanC	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	50	06:39

Winnipeg Jets goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
30L. Brossoit(W)	40	40	0	1.000	3.50	+3.50	60:00

Season series

WPG leads 3-0

Oct 181@4Final
Nov 196@3Final
Dec 221@0this game

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks

3rd period

1st

2nd

Box score