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Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets

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Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-1. The Jets scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bryan Little's goal at 4:58 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 57% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.4 to 1.7; shots on goal were VAN 27, WPG 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Anders Nilsson stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.6 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Bryan Little (1 G, 1 A), 2. Dustin Byfuglien (1 G, 2 A), 3. Connor Hellebuyck (26 saves, .963).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    B. Little1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    D. Byfuglien1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck26 saves, .963

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN0811207127
WPGWPG11109312432

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    P. Laine(3)PPG
    snapxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    18:56

2nd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.15win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    12:54

3rd period

  1. WPG
    B. Little(2)PPG
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +22 pts
    1-2
    4:58
  2. WPG
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    12:46
  3. WPG
    snapxG 0.12win prob +2 pts
    1-4
    14:43

Penalties

VAN 26 PIM·WPG 26 PIM

1st

  • 16:19WPGBlake Wheeler · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Edler2 min
  • 17:14VANAlexander Edler · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min

2nd

  • 17:23VANAlexander Edler · Cross checkingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min
  • 17:23WPGTyler Myers · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Edler2 min
  • 19:36WPGTyler Myers · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Anders Nilsson2 min

3rd

  • 3:21VANAlexander Edler · Trippingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 19:04VANErik Gudbranson · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:04VANBen Hutton · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:04WPGBrendan Lemieux · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:04WPGBen Chiarot · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalVAN goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Bryan Little, 3rd 4:58 — WPG 57% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.18P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.16M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.13D. Byfuglien · Goal · xG 0.12N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.11B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.11B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.10A. Copp · Goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.09P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.08M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.08D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.07P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.07A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.06P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.05J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.05B. Little · Goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrow · Missed · xG 0.03P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.03D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.03B. Little · Missed · xG 0.02M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.02P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.00M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG4 G · 2.4 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsWPG
1.71 G
All situations
4 G2.4
1.51 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.10 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN37%63%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.67 – 2.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsWPG
27
Shots on goal
32
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/2
Power play
2/2
26
Penalty minutes
26
16
Hits
20
12
Blocked shots
14
6
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. TanevD000010.02040—21:43
23A. EdlerD000030.08206—20:07
5D. PouliotD011+100.01110—19:45
53B. HorvatC101+130.351005219:01
27B. HuttonD000-220.020110—18:48
51T. StecherD000+110.02000—18:48
44E. GudbransonD000-230.022010—18:43
6B. BoeserR000+120.29000—17:58
20B. SutterC000-120.120004417:21
77N. GoldobinR000+120.05010—16:29
60M. GranlundC000-110.051102515:23
47S. BaertschiL000000.07000—15:00
18J. VirtanenR000-110.07200—14:25
64T. MotteC000-100.04310013:50
59T. SchallerL000-130.17300—12:57
26A. RousselL000-110.0713010012:28
21L. ErikssonL000010.08000—12:15
88A. GaudetteR000010.130002710:06
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Nilsson(L)32284.8752.36-1.6459:34

Season series

WPG leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).