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Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV SN, SN1·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Calgary Flames 1-0. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 12:18 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 54% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.2 to 1.9; shots on goal were CGY 24, EDM 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. David Rittich stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 24 of 24 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mikko Koskinen (24 saves, 1.000), 2. Connor McDavid (1 G), 3. David Rittich (29 saves, .967).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    M. Koskinen24 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    D. Rittich29 saves, .967

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY01001004024
EDMEDM1160707130

Scoring

1 goal

1st period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    12:18

Penalties

CGY 15 PIM·EDM 9 PIM

1st

  • 8:36CGYJames Neal · Interferencedrawn by Kevin Gravel2 min
  • 15:21CGYAnthony Peluso · Fightingdrawn by Milan Lucic5 min
  • 15:21EDMMilan Lucic · Fightingdrawn by Anthony Peluso5 min
  • 15:21CGYAnthony Peluso · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Milan Lucic2 min

2nd

  • 6:23EDMDarnell Nurse · Holdingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

3rd

  • 2:26EDMKyle Brodziak · Trippingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 5:27CGYSam Bennett · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Mikko Koskinen2 min
  • 8:50CGYDalton Prout · Illegal check to headdrawn by Ty Rattie2 min
  • 14:19CGYElias Lindholm · Slashingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalCGY goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, 1st 12:18 — EDM 54% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.36L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.14C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.13R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.12K. Brodziak · Missed · xG 0.11K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.10A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.08M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.07T. Rattie · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.05C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.05K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.05M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.04O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.04O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.03J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.03J. Khaira · Missed · xG 0.03O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.03O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.03K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.03K. Brodziak · Missed · xG 0.03K. Gravel · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02K. Gravel · Missed · xG 0.02K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.02K. Brodziak · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.00D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM1 G · 2.2 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsEDM
1.90 G
All situations
1 G2.2
1.50 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY44%56%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.86 – 2.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsEDM
24
Shots on goal
30
65%
Faceoffs
35%
0/2
Power play
0/5
15
Penalty minutes
9
28
Hits
32
14
Blocked shots
20
17
Giveaways
22
11
Takeaways
18

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55N. HanifinD000020.05220—25:09
7T. BrodieD000-100.00220—24:22
24T. HamonicD000020.04220—23:28
28E. LindholmC000000.001027822:42
13J. GaudreauL000050.34000—21:50
23S. MonahanC000040.202006719:57
4R. AnderssonD000-100.07010—19:44
77M. JankowskiL000010.020305317:51
18J. NealL000000.12102—15:54
10D. RyanC000-120.172006315:41
19M. TkachukL000-100.07200—14:56
93S. BennettC000-130.380028013:24
58O. KylingtonD000010.03010—12:46
88A. MangiapaneL000020.12110—12:38
6D. ProutD000000.00622—11:22
21G. HathawayR000020.0640010009:15
89A. QuineC000000.2220010007:45
16A. PelusoR000000.00107—02:28
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(L)30291.9672.23+1.2358:48

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).