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Oilers at Flames
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
2
Calgary Flames
▸4
FinalTV CBC, SN·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-2. The Flames came back from two goals down. The Oilers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Lindholm's goal at 9:10 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 52% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.1 to 1.7; shots on goal were EDM 26, CGY 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 33 of 36 (.917); David Rittich stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Elias Lindholm (2 G), 2. David Rittich (24 saves, .923), 3. Travis Hamonic (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    E. Lindholm2 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    D. Rittich24 saves, .923
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    T. Hamonic2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM1911205226
CGYCGY09110318437

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    A. Chiasson(7)SHG
    A. Larsson (7)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:29

2nd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(11)PPG
    L. Draisaitl (10)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    2-0
    3:49
  2. CGY
    D. Ryan(2)PPG
    S. Bennett (3), N. Hanifin (6)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    16:23

3rd period

  1. CGY
    S. Monahan(10)
    T. Hamonic (2), J. Gaudreau (14)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +25 pts
    2-2
    2:40
  2. CGY
    E. Lindholm(10)
    N. Hanifin (7), S. Monahan (11)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +30 pts
    2-3
    9:10
  3. CGY
    E. Lindholm(11)EN
    T. Hamonic (3)
    wristxG 0.49win prob +2 pts
    2-4
    19:18

Penalties

EDM 41 PIM·CGY 15 PIM

1st

  • 1:59EDMLeon Draisaitl · Interferencedrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 3:09CGYSam Bennett · Fightingdrawn by Darnell Nurse5 min
  • 3:09EDMDarnell Nurse · Fightingdrawn by Sam Bennett5 min
  • 9:58CGYMikael Backlund · Roughingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 9:58EDMConnor McDavid · Holdingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min
  • 9:58EDMLeon Draisaitl · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 19:48CGYSam Bennett · Roughingdrawn by Zack Kassian2 min
  • 19:48EDMZack Kassian · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 19:48EDMZack Kassian · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 19:48EDMZack Kassian · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 19:48EDMZack Kassian · Misconduct10 min

2nd

  • 1:30CGYMikael Backlund · High sticking double minordrawn by Leon Draisaitl4 min
  • 4:58EDMLeon Draisaitl · Trippingdrawn by Noah Hanifin2 min
  • 15:12EDMAdam Larsson · Holdingdrawn by Michael Frolik2 min
  • 17:58CGYRasmus Andersson · Interferencedrawn by Zack Kassian2 min

3rd

  • 19:35EDMZack Kassian · Misconductdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalEDM goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Elias Lindholm, 3rd 9:10 — CGY 52% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.49E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.25J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.22S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.14M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.10M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.10S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.09R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.09J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.09J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.08J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.07S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.07S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.06S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.05J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.05J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.04T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.04D. Ryan · Goal · xG 0.03M. Frolik · Missed · xG 0.03J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.03D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.03D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.03M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.01
CGY4 G · 3.1 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCGY
1.72 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.10 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM33%67%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.70 – 2.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCGY
26
Shots on goal
37
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/3
Power play
1/6
41
Penalty minutes
15
21
Hits
18
19
Blocked shots
10
13
Giveaways
26
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77O. KlefbomD000-220.19020—25:33
6A. LarssonD011-130.06122—22:04
97C. McDavidC101-120.111026321:29
29L. DraisaitlC011-140.450063520:57
83M. BenningD000020.05510—20:55
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-330.080105220:11
25D. NurseD000000.01025—18:56
91D. CaggiulaL000020.213105018:50
4K. RussellD000000.03170—16:26
39A. ChiassonR101010.141002516:21
27M. LucicL000-110.12510—16:18
16J. KhairaL000010.060005015:10
5K. GravelD000020.08000—13:57
23R. SpoonerC000-230.031002510:35
44Z. KassianR000000.091026—10:28
8T. RattieR000-100.00010—09:39
52P. RussellR000000.00210—08:37
65C. MarodyC000000.00000003:15
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(L)36333.9172.57-0.4359:08

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).