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Oilers at Flames
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸3
Calgary Flames
1
FinalTV SN, CBC·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Calgary Flames 3-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Darnell Nurse's goal at 5:21 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 75% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.4 to 1.8; shots on goal were EDM 25, CGY 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Mike Smith stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Johnny Gaudreau (1 A), 2. Mikko Koskinen (30 saves, .968), 3. Leon Draisaitl (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    M. Koskinen30 saves, .968
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM1111915325
CGYCGY11101109131

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(50)
    A. Sekera (4), R. Nugent-Hopkins (40)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    10:55
  2. CGY
    M. Jankowski(14)
    T. Hamonic (12), J. Gaudreau (63)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    15:57

2nd period

  1. EDM
    A. Chiasson(22)PPG
    O. Klefbom (23), R. Nugent-Hopkins (41)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    4:57

3rd period

  1. EDM
    D. Nurse(10)
    A. Chiasson (16)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    5:21

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·CGY 2 PIM

1st

  • 1:53EDMAdam Larsson · Trippingdrawn by TJ Brodie2 min

2nd

  • 3:42CGYMark Giordano · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 17:17EDMKris Russell · High stickingdrawn by James Neal2 min

3rd

  • 1:46EDMDarnell Nurse · Elbowingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalEDM goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Darnell Nurse, 3rd 5:21 — EDM 75% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.20A. Czarnik · On goal · xG 0.15J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.13J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.11O. Fantenberg · Missed · xG 0.10J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.10D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.10M. Jankowski · Goal · xG 0.09J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.09M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.09A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.08M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.07A. Czarnik · On goal · xG 0.07M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.06M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.06G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.06A. Czarnik · On goal · xG 0.06A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.06M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.05J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.05M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.05D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.04M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.04R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.04M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.02D. Prout · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.02D. Prout · Missed · xG 0.02J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.01J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.01D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.00E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.00T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY1 G · 2.4 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCGY
1.83 G
All situations
1 G2.4
1.62 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM39%61%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.82 – 2.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCGY
25
Shots on goal
31
26%
Faceoffs
74%
1/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
14
Hits
9
12
Blocked shots
8
20
Giveaways
21
16
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29L. DraisaitlC101030.211103025:06
25D. NurseD101+220.13322—22:39
4K. RussellD000000.00022—20:10
44Z. KassianR000+100.00000—20:08
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC022010.02000019:51
12C. CaveC000010.041104517:52
77O. KlefbomD011-130.10010—17:43
83M. BenningD000000.00210—17:17
39A. ChiassonR112+110.15100—16:55
22T. RiederL000020.12010—16:35
6A. LarssonD000-120.05002—16:16
2A. SekeraD011+100.02020—16:04
24B. MaloneC000+110.073002914:27
89S. GagnerC000010.010003313:50
8T. RattieR000030.41200—10:51
5K. GravelD000+100.00110—10:35
97C. McDavidC000040.460001709:40
45J. GambardellaC000010.03000008:01
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(W)31301.9682.38+1.3860:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).