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Maple Leafs at Bruins
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
3
Boston Bruins
▸6
FinalTV NHLN-US, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 6-3. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson's goal at 11:20 of the first period, which took the Bruins' chances from 54% to 65%. Expected goals were close — TOR 3.2, BOS 3.4; shots on goal were TOR 32, BOS 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 22 of 28 (.786), 2.8 goals below expected; Jaroslav Halak stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Brad Marchand (3 A), 2. Torey Krug (1 G, 2 A), 3. Charlie McAvoy.

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    B. Marchand3 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    T. Krug1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    C. McAvoy

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR01109312332
BOSBOS1821539632

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    J. Forsbacka Karlsson(3)
    D. Pastrnak (13), M. Grzelcyk (8)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    11:20

2nd period

  1. BOS
    D. Backes(3)PPG
    B. Marchand (18), T. Krug (13)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    8:54
  2. BOS
    T. Krug(1)
    B. Marchand (19), D. Krejci (18)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +6 pts
    0-3
    17:45

3rd period

  1. BOS
    D. Heinen(3)
    R. Donato (1), J. Moore (4)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    1:47
  2. TOR
    T. Dermott(2)
    A. Matthews (10), J. Gardiner (14)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    4:03
  3. BOS
    D. Krejci(4)
    D. Pastrnak (14), B. Marchand (20)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    4:37
  4. BOS
    R. Donato(3)
    D. Heinen (4), T. Krug (14)
    wristxG 0.35
    1-6
    6:13
  5. TOR
    A. Matthews(16)
    A. Johnsson (6), M. Rielly (23)
    wristxG 0.22
    2-6
    9:30
  6. TOR
    A. Johnsson(7)PPG
    P. Marleau (10), J. Gardiner (15)
    backhandxG 0.16
    3-6
    12:22

Penalties

TOR 40 PIM·BOS 58 PIM

1st

  • 0:13BOSCharlie McAvoy · Cross checkingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
  • 10:07BOSDavid Krejci · Roughingdrawn by Jake Gardiner2 min
  • 10:07TORJake Gardiner · Roughingdrawn by David Krejci2 min

2nd

  • 6:14TORTyler Ennis · Trippingdrawn by Gemel Smith2 min
  • 8:34TORNazem Kadri · Trippingdrawn by David Krejci2 min
  • 10:06TORJohn Tavares · Slashingdrawn by Matt Grzelcyk2 min
  • 11:02BOSDavid Backes · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Zaitsev2 min
  • 11:33TORJake Gardiner · Boardingdrawn by David Krejci2 min
  • 14:32TORNazem Kadri · Fightingdrawn by Brandon Carlo5 min
  • 14:32BOSBrandon Carlo · Fightingdrawn by Nazem Kadri5 min

3rd

  • 9:53BOSMatt Grzelcyk · Cross checkingdrawn by Zach Hyman5 min
  • 9:53TORZach Hyman · Interferencedrawn by Charlie McAvoy5 min
  • 9:53TORZach Hyman · Fightingdrawn by Matt Grzelcyk5 min
  • 9:53BOSMatt Grzelcyk · Fightingdrawn by Zach Hyman5 min
  • 9:53BOSMatt Grzelcyk · Game misconduct10 min
  • 9:53TORZach Hyman · Game misconduct10 min
  • 9:53BOSMatt Grzelcyk · Game misconduct10 min
  • 10:55BOSChris Wagner · Chargingdrawn by Patrick Marleau2 min
  • 10:55BOSChris Wagner · Fightingdrawn by Ron Hainsey5 min
  • 10:55BOSChris Wagner · Misconduct10 min
  • 10:55TORRon Hainsey · Fightingdrawn by Chris Wagner5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalTOR goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson, 1st 11:20 — BOS 54% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Donato · Goal · xG 0.35J. Forsbacka Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.22D. Krejci · Goal · xG 0.21D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.17B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.16D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.16D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.16D. Heinen · Goal · xG 0.14B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.14D. Backes · Goal · xG 0.14D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.12D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.12J. Forsbacka Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.12D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.11D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.10D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.09B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.09D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.08C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.08B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.08D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.07D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.07D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.06S. Kampfer · On goal · xG 0.04R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.04T. Krug · Goal · xG 0.03M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.03B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.03S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.03D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.02D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.02S. Kampfer · On goal · xG 0.02G. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.02B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.02B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.02R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.02G. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.01D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS6 G · 3.4 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsBOS
3.23 G
All situations
6 G3.4
2.72 G
Even strength
5 G2.6
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR47%53%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.20 – 3.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsBOS
32
Shots on goal
32
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/2
Power play
1/4
40
Penalty minutes
58
21
Hits
24
8
Blocked shots
13
9
Giveaways
12
26
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23T. DermottD101-130.15320—21:38
44M. RiellyD011030.22100—21:36
51J. GardinerD022-110.00034—20:54
22N. ZaitsevD000-210.12000—20:04
16M. MarnerR000-300.00100—19:07
2R. HainseyD000-120.01105—18:17
34A. MatthewsC112040.480006517:53
91J. TavaresC000-350.570026017:32
29W. NylanderR000030.350104316:30
12P. MarleauC011020.271005015:44
24K. KapanenR000+110.06100—15:30
43N. KadriC000010.182074315:01
92I. OzhiganovD000-110.01110—14:32
11Z. HymanL000-110.1241203314:24
18A. JohnssonL112+230.37000—13:06
28C. BrownR000-110.24100—10:42
26P. LindholmC000-100.004003810:13
63T. EnnisR000-200.06102—09:02
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(L)28226.7863.20-2.8046:10
40G. Sparks4401.0000.23+0.2313:47

Season series

BOS leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).