Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs
Recap
written from the game dataThe Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Boston Bruins 4-2. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Pastrnak's goal at 14:22 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 27% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 4.8 to 4.2; shots on goal were BOS 40, TOR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Frederik Andersen stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 2.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Frederik Andersen (38 saves, .950), 2. David Pastrnak (2 G), 3. Mitch Marner (3 A).
Three stars
- ★F. Andersen38 saves, .950

- ★★D. Pastrnak2 G

- ★★★M. Marner3 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
0-117:44
2nd period
1-13:39
1-213:06
2-214:22
2-318:38
3rd period
2-418:25
Penalties
2nd
- 1:55
Par Lindholm · Hookingdrawn by John Moore2 min
- 10:48
served by F. Gauthier · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 16:58
Anders Bjork · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Ennis2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: David Pastrnak, 2nd 14:22 — 27% → 47%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.82 G
- All situations
- 3 G4.2
- 3.01 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.7
- 1.71 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.7
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 114 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 4.70 – 3.28
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 40
- Shots on goal
- 31
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 1/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 19
- Hits
- 23
- 17
- Blocked shots
- 22
- 11
- Giveaways
- 16
- 7
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















