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Blue Jackets at Islanders
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
2
New York Islanders
▸3
FinalTV FS-O, MSG+·NYCB Live/Nassau Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-2. The Islanders came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Casey Cizikas's goal at 7:09 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 52% to 77%. Expected goals were close — CBJ 2.3, NYI 2.3; shots on goal were CBJ 30, NYI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.7 goals below expected; Thomas Greiss stopped 28 of 30 (.933). Three stars: 1. Casey Cizikas (1 G), 2. Anders Lee (1 G), 3. Scott Mayfield (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    C. Cizikas1 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    A. Lee1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    S. Mayfield2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ0925016230
NYINYI07212110329

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    M. Hannikainen(4)
    S. Jones (9)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +18 pts
    1-0
    6:46
  2. CBJ
    P. Dubois(13)
    C. Atkinson (11)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    8:33
  3. NYI
    A. Lee(9)
    J. Eberle (6), S. Mayfield (9)
    deflectedxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    11:59
  4. NYI
    A. Beauvillier(7)
    J. Bailey (15), S. Mayfield (10)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    15:24

3rd period

  1. NYI
    C. Cizikas(6)
    R. Pulock (7), J. Eberle (7)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +24 pts
    2-3
    7:09

Penalties

CBJ 8 PIM·NYI 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:02CBJPierre-Luc Dubois · Trippingdrawn by Leo Komarov2 min
  • 11:59NYIAnders Lee · Roughingdrawn by David Savard2 min
  • 11:59CBJDavid Savard · Roughingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 16:01NYIJordan Eberle · Hookingdrawn by Lukas Sedlak2 min

2nd

  • 1:47CBJMarkus Nutivaara · Interferencedrawn by Tom Kuhnhackl2 min

3rd

  • 6:23NYIThomas Hickey · Boardingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 6:27CBJNick Foligno · Interferencedrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalCBJ goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Casey Cizikas, 3rd 7:09 — NYI 52% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.16C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.16S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.15J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.13C. Cizikas · Goal · xG 0.13L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.13A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.12T. Kuhnhackl · Missed · xG 0.12A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.12L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.11M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.10A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.09M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.07T. Kuhnhackl · On goal · xG 0.06L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.05N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.05J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hickey · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.02M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hickey · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hickey · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.00T. Hickey · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI3 G · 2.3 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsNYI
2.32 G
All situations
3 G2.3
2.02 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ50%50%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.22 – 2.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsNYI
30
Shots on goal
29
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
35
Hits
35
13
Blocked shots
13
11
Giveaways
22
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD011030.12530—29:24
8Z. WerenskiD000-140.32410—28:57
9A. PanarinL000+110.08000—20:27
65M. NutivaaraD000+120.04112—19:53
77J. AndersonR000-110.13500—18:39
71N. FolignoL000-110.074127518:24
13C. AtkinsonR011030.45000—17:54
18P. DuboisC101030.261121317:27
27R. MurrayD000+120.07110—17:03
38B. JennerC000-140.243005416:46
58D. SavardD000-220.09332—15:40
10A. WennbergC000-110.061105013:36
17B. DubinskyC000010.011106712:40
28O. BjorkstrandR000000.09000—11:04
20R. NashC000+110.07000010:11
45L. SedlakC000000.0520010009:32
37M. HannikainenL101010.17200—08:52
4S. HarringtonD000-100.01200—07:27
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)29263.8972.26-0.7458:02

Season series

NYI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).