Islanders at Blue Jackets 3-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

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New York Islanders

▸3

Columbus Blue Jackets

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Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Casey Cizikas's goal at 5:50 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 65% to 81%. Expected goals were close — NYI 2.2, CBJ 2.4; shots on goal were NYI 27, CBJ 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 31 of 31 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Casey Cizikas (2 G), 2. Thomas Greiss (31 saves, 1.000), 3. Josh Bailey (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

★
C. Cizikas2 G
★★
T. Greiss31 saves, 1.000
★★★
J. Bailey1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
NYI	110	210	07	327
CBJ	013	09	09	031

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

C. Cizikas(14)
C. Clutterbuck (10), T. Greiss (1)
backhandxG 0.22win prob +12 pts
1-0
7:06

2nd period

C. Cizikas(15)
D. Toews (3), J. Bailey (29)
wristxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
2-0
5:50
J. Bailey(13)
T. Kuhnhackl (4), M. Barzal (33)
backhandxG 0.21win prob +8 pts
3-0
19:19

Penalties

2 PIM·

4 PIM

1st

7:44Boone Jenner · Trippingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min

2nd

3:30David Savard · Trippingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
13:19Johnny Boychuk · Hookingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: CBJ

Biggest swing: Casey Cizikas, 2nd 5:50 — NYI 65% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 2.4 xG · 44 att

←

attacks

attacks →

3 G · 2.2 xG · 36 att CBJ

0 G · 2.4 xG · 44 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.23 G
All situations: 0 G2.4; 1.93 G
Even strength: 0 G2.0; 0.10 G
Power play: 0 G0.2; 0.20 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

46%54%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 2.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

27
Shots on goal: 31; 43%
Faceoffs: 57%; 0/2
Power play: 0/1; 2
Penalty minutes: 4; 19
Hits: 28; 21
Blocked shots: 12; 2
Giveaways: 9; 7
Takeaways: 7

Box score

every player line

New York Islanders skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
2N. LeddyD	0	0	0	+1	2	0.18	1	1	0	—	21:58
6R. PulockD	0	0	0	+2	1	0.02	3	3	0	—	20:42
3A. PelechD	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	1	2	0	—	19:30
29B. NelsonC	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	3	1	0	47	19:17
25D. ToewsD	0	1	1	+1	1	0.06	0	1	0	—	19:15
7J. EberleR	0	0	0	0	3	0.13	0	1	0	—	18:18
24S. MayfieldD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	5	0	—	18:14
27A. LeeL	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	0	0	0	—	18:01
55J. BoychukD	0	0	0	+2	2	0.09	0	3	2	—	18:00
12J. BaileyR	1	1	2	+2	2	0.27	0	0	0	33	15:39
53C. CizikasC	2	0	2	+2	3	0.36	1	0	0	57	15:26
17M. MartinL	0	0	0	+1	2	0.17	4	1	0	—	15:04
13M. BarzalC	0	1	1	+1	2	0.20	0	1	0	50	14:36
15C. ClutterbuckR	0	1	1	+1	2	0.22	3	0	0	—	14:13
14T. KuhnhacklR	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	—	13:26
51V. FilppulaC	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	17	13:01
18A. BeauvillierR	0	0	0	+1	1	0.08	1	0	0	—	12:07
47L. KomarovR	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	1	0	—	11:13

New York Islanders goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
1T. Greiss(W)	31	31	0	1.000	2.42	+2.42	60:00

Season series

NYI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets

1st period

2nd period

1st

2nd

Box score