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Panthers at Hurricanes
NHL

Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
1
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
FinalTV FS-CR, FS-F·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Florida Panthers 4-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Martinook's goal at 19:22 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.2 to 2.7; shots on goal were FLA 35, CAR 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. James Reimer stopped 26 of 28 (.929); Curtis McElhinney stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Martinook (3 G), 2. Curtis McElhinney (34 saves, .971), 3. Lucas Wallmark (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Martinook3 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    C. McElhinney34 saves, .971
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    L. Wallmark3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA01608111135
CARCAR111016312439

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Martinook(5)
    L. Wallmark (6), A. Svechnikov (5)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    19:22

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Martinook(6)
    L. Wallmark (7), A. Svechnikov (6)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    7:31
  2. CAR
    T. Teravainen(5)PPG
    S. Aho (18)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +3 pts
    0-3
    8:32
  3. FLA
    T. Brouwer(6)
    M. Matheson (8)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +2 pts
    1-3
    14:04
  4. CAR
    J. Martinook(7)EN
    L. Wallmark (8)
    wristxG 0.91win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    18:00

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

2nd

  • 5:20CARJordan Martinook · Roughingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 5:20FLAMike Matheson · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 5:20FLAMike Matheson · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 10:11CARJordan Staal · Slashingdrawn by Keith Yandle2 min
  • 15:02FLAMark Pysyk · Trippingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min

3rd

  • 8:00FLAserved by J. Huberdeau · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalFLA goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Martinook, 1st 19:22 — CAR 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.91J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.28M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.27P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.20M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.19L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.18D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.18J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.17J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.13T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.13A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.13T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.10J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.10L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.10J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.07T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.06T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.05B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.05J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.04L. Wallmark · Missed · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.03B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.02L. Wallmark · Missed · xG 0.02J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.02B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.00L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.00J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.00J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.00B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 4.2 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsCAR
2.71 G
All situations
3 G4.2
2.21 G
Even strength
2 G2.8
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA40%60%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.66 – 3.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsCAR
35
Shots on goal
39
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/1
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
4
31
Hits
31
16
Blocked shots
16
16
Giveaways
19
17
Takeaways
18

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
16A. BarkovC000-220.251105822:33
3K. YandleD000-220.05010—21:06
5A. EkbladD000+130.05110—20:31
63E. DadonovL000-240.34000—19:55
68M. HoffmanC000-140.47000019:33
19M. MathesonD011+120.08064—19:24
13M. PysykD000000.02312—19:11
55B. KiselevichD000-110.02510—19:08
52M. WeegarD000-230.06510—18:55
11J. HuberdeauL000-100.00100—16:54
27N. BjugstadC000020.186003114:50
7C. SceviourC000010.12200014:34
22T. BrouwerR101-120.17300—13:45
90J. McCannL000010.190105013:38
72F. VatranoR000-140.38030—13:34
62D. MalginC000010.14300011:35
91J. LammikkoC000020.140005009:42
73D. HuntL000010.00100—08:01
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Reimer(L)28262.9292.12+0.1239:17
1R. Luongo1091.9001.17+0.1719:22

Season series

CAR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).