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Wild at Stars
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸3
Dallas Stars
1
FinalTV NBCSN·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Dallas Stars 3-1. The Stars scored first; the Wild answered. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Suter's goal at 12:54 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 48% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 5.5 to 3.2; shots on goal were MIN 36, DAL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Ben Bishop stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Devan Dubnyk (33 saves, .971), 2. Ryan Suter (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ben Bishop (33 saves, .943).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    D. Dubnyk33 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    MIN
    R. Suter1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    B. Bishop33 saves, .943

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN08013315336
DALDAL0602414134

Scoring

4 goals

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Spezza(1)
    M. Heiskanen (2), D. Shore (1)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +24 pts
    0-1
    0:36
  2. MIN
    M. Dumba(3)
    M. Granlund (3), Z. Parise (7)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +30 pts
    1-1
    9:37
  3. MIN
    R. Suter(2)
    E. Staal (3), J. Zucker (3)
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +36 pts
    2-1
    12:54
  4. MIN
    Z. Parise(2)EN
    R. Suter (5)
    tip-inxG 0.94win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    19:00

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·DAL 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:15DALJulius Honka · Interferencedrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 14:54MINMatt Read · Hookingdrawn by Julius Honka2 min

2nd

  • 8:07MINGreg Pateryn · Slashingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min
  • 8:38DALJohn Klingberg · Holdingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 16:37MINRyan Suter · Hookingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalMIN goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan Suter, 3rd 12:54 — MIN 48% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.55J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.19J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.17M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.16J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.16J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.14T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.13T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.12M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.12B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.11R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.11J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.10R. Polak · On goal · xG 0.10J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.09B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.09J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.08T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.06M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.06D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.06T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.05D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.05T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.05M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.04J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.04R. Polak · On goal · xG 0.04E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.03T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Honka · On goal · xG 0.02T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.02M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spezza · Goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.01J. Honka · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.00E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL1 G · 3.2 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsDAL
5.52 G
All situations
1 G3.2
3.12 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN56%44%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.44 – 3.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsDAL
36
Shots on goal
34
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
16
Hits
16
21
Blocked shots
19
3
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24M. DumbaD101+230.17110—24:58
20R. SuterD112+330.20052—24:07
46J. SpurgeonD000-100.00210—19:55
64M. GranlundC011+210.25010019:16
9M. KoivuC000+210.060005618:45
11Z. PariseL112+251.68050—18:33
25J. BrodinD000-120.09100—17:10
29G. PaterynD000+120.02132—16:57
36N. SeelerD000010.24010—16:18
16J. ZuckerL011051.10300—16:02
12E. StaalC011050.740003315:37
3C. CoyleC000010.112203314:36
10M. ReadR000010.07002—12:55
17M. FolignoL000020.17310—12:52
22N. NiederreiterR000010.14100—12:26
21E. FehrC000000.071107112:04
23J. BrownR000010.08000—11:00
18J. GreenwayL000020.3010010010:32
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(W)34331.9713.16+2.1659:57

Season series

DAL leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).