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Wild at Stars
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
1
Dallas Stars
▸3
FinalTV FS-N, FS-SW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Minnesota Wild 3-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Seguin's goal at 12:18 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 52% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.6 to 1.4; shots on goal were MIN 22, DAL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 29 of 31 (.935); Ben Bishop stopped 21 of 22 (.955). Three stars: 1. Tyler Seguin (2 G), 2. Devan Dubnyk (29 saves, .935), 3. Miro Heiskanen (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    T. Seguin2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    D. Dubnyk29 saves, .935
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    M. Heiskanen1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN0517010122
DALDAL01111427332

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. DAL
    A. Cogliano(4)
    R. Polak (5), M. Heiskanen (12)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    3:12
  2. MIN
    B. Hunt(3)PPG
    E. Staal (20), M. Granlund (30)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    8:48

3rd period

  1. DAL
    T. Seguin(19)
    M. Janmark (13), E. Lindell (14)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +34 pts
    1-2
    12:18
  2. DAL
    T. Seguin(20)EN
    A. Cogliano (9)
    snapxG 0.83win prob +2 pts
    1-3
    19:36

Penalties

MIN 2 PIM·DAL 4 PIM

2nd

  • 5:12DALAndrew Cogliano · High sticking double minordrawn by Zach Parise4 min
  • 10:02MINEric Staal · Slashingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalMIN goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Seguin, 3rd 12:18 — DAL 52% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.83J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.22R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.21R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.11D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.10A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.08A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.08A. Cogliano · Goal · xG 0.08A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.07J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.05T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.05A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.05A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.05R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.04T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.03T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.03T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.03M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.03T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.02T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.01R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.01T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.00M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.00R. Polak · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL3 G · 2.6 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsDAL
1.41 G
All situations
2 G2.6
1.20 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN43%57%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.41 – 1.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsDAL
22
Shots on goal
32
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
15
17
Blocked shots
13
10
Giveaways
17
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000-340.06200—27:16
46J. SpurgeonD000-320.05160—25:01
25J. BrodinD000010.00110—21:39
29G. PaterynD000010.02320—21:04
64M. GranlundC011-230.240005019:48
9M. KoivuC000-210.290105819:37
16J. ZuckerL000-120.14200—19:05
3C. CoyleC000-100.000104018:52
12E. StaalC011-100.002025618:24
11Z. PariseL000-110.08100—16:42
18J. GreenwayL000000.00000—16:04
49V. RaskC000020.020002214:55
77B. HuntD101010.17010—13:23
17M. FolignoL000020.18200—12:41
21E. FehrC000-100.000005010:00
36N. SeelerD000010.03150—09:57
15M. HendricksC000-110.023005007:14
26P. AbergL000000.10000—06:49
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(L)31292.9351.74-0.2659:29

Season series

DAL leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).