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Ducks at Blues
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
▸3
St. Louis Blues
2
FinalTV FS-MW, PRIME·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew Cogliano's goal at 14:44 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 51% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.8 to 2.0; shots on goal were ANA 31, STL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Ryan Miller stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Chad Johnson stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Andrew Cogliano (1 G), 2. Alexander Steen (1 G), 3. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    A. Cogliano1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    A. Steen1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA17014210331
STLSTL010211010231

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    J. Silfverberg(3)
    M. Comtois (3), H. Lindholm (4)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    18:21

2nd period

  1. STL
    A. Steen(2)
    J. Edmundson (1), V. Tarasenko (2)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    11:49
  2. STL
    T. Bozak(1)PPG
    P. Maroon (3)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    15:52

3rd period

  1. ANA
    B. Street(2)
    J. Manson (2), C. Fowler (2)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +28 pts
    2-2
    7:16
  2. ANA
    A. Cogliano(1)PPG
    R. Kesler (1), H. Lindholm (5)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +36 pts
    3-2
    14:44

Penalties

ANA 6 PIM·STL 4 PIM

1st

  • 11:30ANASam Steel · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 8:32ANAMarcus Pettersson · High stickingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 13:11STLJoel Edmundson · Interferencedrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 14:35ANARyan Kesler · Slashingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min

3rd

  • 12:45STLJoel Edmundson · Trippingdrawn by Brian Gibbons2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalANA goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Andrew Cogliano, 3rd 14:44 — ANA 51% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.15J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.15T. Bozak · Goal · xG 0.14V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.13R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.13S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.12B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.12P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.12R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.12R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.11V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.10J. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.09A. Steen · Goal · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.08P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.07J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.07A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.06R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.06B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.06A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.06T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.05A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.05J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.05B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.05C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.05B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.04J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.04B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.03J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.02T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.02R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bouwmeester · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.00R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.00
STL2 G · 2.8 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsSTL
2.03 G
All situations
2 G2.8
1.62 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA36%64%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.01 – 2.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsSTL
31
Shots on goal
31
35%
Faceoffs
65%
1/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
22
18
Blocked shots
12
1
Giveaways
4
7
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD011+110.14030—27:48
42J. MansonD011+130.04300—25:39
47H. LindholmD022000.00130—22:16
67R. RakellR000-160.25240—22:15
17R. KeslerC011010.011124320:23
26B. MontourD000030.19320—19:57
7A. CoglianoC101050.47000018:18
14A. HenriqueC000000.000304016:45
48I. LundestromC000020.14000015:51
34S. SteelC000000.001022715:33
64K. SherwoodL000+120.1610010015:19
53M. ComtoisL011000.08200—14:09
62A. SustrD000030.05010—11:52
61T. TerryR000000.00010—11:10
28M. PetterssonD000000.00002—10:55
46B. StreetC101+120.153001409:32
33J. SilfverbergR101+120.21000—08:55
23B. GibbonsC000+110.15100008:09
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30R. Miller(W)31292.9352.81+0.8159:57

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).