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Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers

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Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Boston Bruins 3-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jared McCann's goal at 14:23 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 52% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were BOS 28, FLA 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Roberto Luongo stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Roberto Luongo (26 saves, .929), 2. Jared McCann (1 G), 3. Aleksander Barkov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    R. Luongo26 saves, .929
  2. ★★
    FLA
    J. McCann1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS1618014228
FLAFLA211014110335

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    7:42
  2. FLA
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    9:34
  3. BOS
    R. Donato(5)PPG
    T. Krug (44), B. Marchand (51)
    slapxG 0.18win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    15:19

2nd period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    2:11

3rd period

  1. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +37 pts
    2-3
    14:23

Penalties

BOS 6 PIM·FLA 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:05FLAMike Matheson · Holdingdrawn by David Krejci2 min

2nd

  • 13:45BOSAdam McQuaid · Interferencedrawn by Colton Sceviour2 min

3rd

  • 4:18BOSCharlie McAvoy · Hookingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 20:00FLAColton Sceviour · Roughingdrawn by David Krejci2 min
  • 20:00BOSDavid Krejci · Cross checkingdrawn by Colton Sceviour2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalBOS goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Jared McCann, 3rd 14:23 — FLA 52% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.33C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.24F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.21N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.18A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.18M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.13V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.13M. Mamin · Missed · xG 0.13N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.13V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.12E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.11A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.11V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.10J. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.10N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.10N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.10N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.10A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.09C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.08C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.08J. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.08J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.07J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.07J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.06K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.06E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.06E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.06E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.05E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.05E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Petrovic · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.03M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.02J. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.02A. Petrovic · Missed · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.02A. Petrovic · On goal · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.01J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.01D. MacKenzie · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01A. Petrovic · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Mamin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.00A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 3.7 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsFLA
2.22 G
All situations
3 G3.7
1.91 G
Even strength
3 G3.2
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS27%73%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 3.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsFLA
28
Shots on goal
35
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/1
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
25
17
Blocked shots
9
4
Giveaways
19
12
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
47T. KrugD011-140.14020—21:55
73C. McAvoyD000-220.01212—21:17
33Z. CharaD000-210.03230—20:50
63B. MarchandL011-240.15000—20:17
86K. MillerD000+100.04350—19:37
88D. PastrnakR000-120.36000—18:56
48M. GrzelcykD000+100.00220—18:13
37P. BergeronC000-120.331005517:56
54A. McQuaidD000-140.07202—17:20
46D. KrejciC011020.270125316:38
55N. AcciariC000-100.071006015:00
42D. BackesR000-120.09400—14:59
59T. SchallerL000-100.071003314:16
43D. HeinenL101010.11010—13:54
74J. DeBruskL011+110.14000—13:25
17R. DonatoC101010.18000011:15
26C. CaveC000010.152104211:12
12B. GiontaR000010.01110—09:58
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40T. Rask(L)35323.9143.74+0.7459:02

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).