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Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers

FinalTV FS-F, NESN·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Boston Bruins 3-0. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Bjugstad's goal at 9:06 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.0 to 1.6; shots on goal were BOS 46, FLA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 1.4 goals below expected; James Reimer stopped 46 of 46 (1.000), 3.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. James Reimer (46 saves, 1.000), 2. Aaron Ekblad (1 G), 3. Evgenii Dadonov (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    J. Reimer46 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Ekblad1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    E. Dadonov2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS014012020046
FLAFLA21011008328

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    slapxG 0.22win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:25
  2. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    9:06

2nd period

  1. FLA
    K. Yandle (41), A. Barkov (45)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    14:07

Penalties

BOS 17 PIM·FLA 25 PIM

1st

  • 1:27FLAFrank Vatrano · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Anton Khudobin2 min
  • 17:56FLAMike Matheson · Instigatordrawn by David Backes2 min
  • 17:56BOSDavid Backes · Match penatly 10 minutesdrawn by Vincent Trocheck10 min
  • 17:56FLAMike Matheson · Fightingdrawn by David Backes5 min
  • 17:56BOSDavid Backes · Fightingdrawn by Mike Matheson5 min
  • 17:56FLAMike Matheson · Instigator misconduct10 min

2nd

  • 12:41BOSRick Nash · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by James Reimer2 min
  • 15:43FLAColton Sceviour · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Carlo2 min

3rd

  • 2:01FLAKeith Yandle · Hookingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 11:37FLANick Bjugstad · Elbowingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalBOS goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Bjugstad, 1st 9:06 — FLA 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Ekblad · Goal · xG 0.22D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.14E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.14C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.13F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.12N. Bjugstad · Goal · xG 0.11J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.06A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.05M. Mamin · On goal · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.05M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.04J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.03D. MacKenzie · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.03E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.02D. MacKenzie · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01I. McCoshen · Missed · xG 0.01A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pysyk · Missed · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01M. Mamin · On goal · xG 0.00K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.00J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.00C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 1.6 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsFLA
3.00 G
All situations
3 G1.6
2.10 G
Even strength
2 G1.1
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS73%27%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.92 – 1.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsFLA
46
Shots on goal
28
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/4
Power play
1/2
17
Penalty minutes
25
24
Hits
23
10
Blocked shots
18
8
Giveaways
26
9
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
47T. KrugD000080.39010—26:35
63B. MarchandL000-210.211003323:56
46D. KrejciC000-130.202004522:09
88D. PastrnakR000-140.12000—20:26
61R. NashL000060.34002—20:21
48M. GrzelcykD000020.10000—20:17
25B. CarloD000000.03220—19:48
12B. GiontaR000030.22010—16:54
20R. NashC000-120.220003316:50
44N. HoldenD000-220.08010—16:06
54A. McQuaidD000010.02630—15:53
43D. HeinenL000050.28000—15:23
86K. MillerD000-230.18210—14:17
59T. SchallerL000-110.213005013:16
55N. AcciariC000020.043105010:28
57T. WingelsC000020.1930010010:25
52S. KuralyC000010.121005008:25
42D. BackesR000000.0010157505:10
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Khudobin(L)28253.8931.63-1.3756:55

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).