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Coyotes at Flames
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
▸4
Calgary Flames
1
FinalTV FS-A PLUS, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Calgary Flames 4-1. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Connauton's goal at 16:39 of the first period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.8 to 1.8; shots on goal were ARI 21, CGY 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Antti Raanta stopped 42 of 43 (.977), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Jon Gillies stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Antti Raanta (42 saves, .977), 2. Kevin Connauton (1 G, 1 A), 3. Spencer Foo.

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    A. Raanta42 saves, .977
  2. ★★
    ARI
    K. Connauton1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    S. Foo

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI281716421
CGYCGY08117018143

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    R. Panik(14)
    K. Connauton (10), C. Keller (41)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:48
  2. ARI
    K. Connauton(11)
    M. Domi (34), T. Murphy (2)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    16:39

2nd period

  1. ARI
    C. Fischer(14)
    J. Archibald (6), B. Perlini (13)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    2:18
  2. CGY
    N. Shore(5)
    C. Lazar (9), M. Bartkowski (2)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    4:32

3rd period

  1. ARI
    D. Strome(3)
    M. Domi (35)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +3 pts
    4-1
    12:50

Penalties

ARI 2 PIM·CGY 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:11CGYDougie Hamilton · Slashingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
  • 11:55CGYNicholas Shore · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Connauton2 min
  • 17:13CGYMichael Frolik · Trippingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min

2nd

  • 15:07CGYGarnet Hathaway · Slashingdrawn by Max Domi2 min

3rd

  • 9:41ARINick Cousins · Cross checkingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalARI goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Kevin Connauton, 1st 16:39 — ARI 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Shore · Goal · xG 0.23S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.19C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.14M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.13T. Glass · On goal · xG 0.12S. Foo · On goal · xG 0.11S. Foo · On goal · xG 0.09G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.09S. Foo · On goal · xG 0.08M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.08D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.08S. Foo · On goal · xG 0.07D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.07M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.06N. Shore · Missed · xG 0.06S. Foo · On goal · xG 0.06M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.05G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.05G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.05M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.05M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.05T. Brouwer · Missed · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.04M. Bartkowski · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04S. Foo · On goal · xG 0.04S. Foo · Missed · xG 0.03M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.03T. Glass · On goal · xG 0.03S. Foo · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.03J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.03M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.02M. Bartkowski · On goal · xG 0.02M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02T. Glass · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01S. Foo · Missed · xG 0.01M. Bartkowski · On goal · xG 0.01M. Bartkowski · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Bartkowski · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.01M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01M. Bartkowski · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.00T. Brouwer · Missed · xG 0.00T. Brouwer · Missed · xG 0.00J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.00
CGY1 G · 2.8 xG · 62 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsCGY
1.84 G
All situations
1 G2.8
1.24 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI32%68%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.80 – 2.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsCGY
21
Shots on goal
43
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/4
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
20
Hits
20
15
Blocked shots
12
14
Giveaways
14
13
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33A. GoligoskiD000-100.01010—25:04
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000+220.07010—23:22
2L. SchennD000+210.07420—22:23
44K. ConnautonD112+110.04110—21:34
9C. KellerR011+130.39000—18:57
21D. StepanC000+110.031005218:52
14R. PanikR101+130.20300—18:34
46T. MurphyD011+200.00210—17:10
20D. StromeC101+130.410205015:34
16M. DomiC022+100.00010015:01
36C. FischerR101+110.21020—14:58
15B. RichardsonR000010.040104314:39
25N. CousinsC000010.113223314:31
11B. PerliniL011+100.00010—14:26
48J. MartinookL000010.04000—14:14
34Z. RinaldoC000+110.02400011:33
45J. ArchibaldR011+120.121003810:26
6J. ChychrunD000000.03100—07:12
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Raanta(W)43421.9772.80+1.8059:30

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).