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Calgary Flames at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV FS-A, SNW·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Utah Mammoth 5-2. The Coyotes scored first; the Flames answered. The Flames led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Monahan's goal at 8:38 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.4 to 3.0; shots on goal were CGY 38, ARI 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Jon Gillies stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Antti Raanta stopped 33 of 38 (.868), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Johnny Gaudreau (1 G, 2 A), 2. Sean Monahan (1 G, 1 A), 3. Sam Bennett (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    S. Monahan1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    S. Bennett1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY27114217538
ARIARI110012115237

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.24win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:57
  2. CGY
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    11:02
  3. CGY
    wristxG 0.10win prob +4 pts
    2-1
    13:18

2nd period

  1. CGY
    S. Monahan(28)PPG
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    3-1
    8:38

3rd period

  1. CGY
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +7 pts
    4-1
    5:11
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.11win prob +1 pts
    5-1
    11:06
  3. ARI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08
    5-2
    17:30

Penalties

CGY 19 PIM·ARI 25 PIM

1st

  • 3:54ARIDerek Stepan · Hookingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min
  • 12:50ARIZac Rinaldo · Fightingdrawn by Micheal Ferland5 min
  • 12:50CGYMicheal Ferland · Fightingdrawn by Zac Rinaldo5 min
  • 15:12CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 19:10CGYJohnny Gaudreau · Hookingdrawn by Josh Archibald2 min

2nd

  • 5:27CGYTJ Brodie · Hookingdrawn by Josh Archibald2 min
  • 7:24ARIMax Domi · Hookingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min
  • 13:11CGYMichael Frolik · Hookingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min

3rd

  • 3:28CGYMatt Stajan · Slashingdrawn by Brendan Perlini2 min
  • 6:32ARIMax Domi · Slashingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 8:02CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Josh Archibald2 min
  • 8:02ARIJosh Archibald · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 12:21ARIMax Domi · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 12:21ARIMax Domi · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00CGYMatt Stajan · Holdingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalCGY goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Sean Monahan, 2nd 8:38 — CGY 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Stepan · Goal · xG 0.24J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.22M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.22M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.22J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.16C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.15D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.15J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.15C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.11D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.08R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.08N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.08D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connauton · Goal · xG 0.08M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.08C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.07M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.07D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.07M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.07N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.07C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.06J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.05M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.05M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.05B. Richardson · Missed · xG 0.04C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.03B. Perlini · Missed · xG 0.02M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.02M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connauton · Missed · xG 0.01C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hjalmarsson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.00A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.00A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI2 G · 3.0 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsARI
3.45 G
All situations
2 G3.0
2.13 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
1.01 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY56%44%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.33 – 2.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsARI
38
Shots on goal
37
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/4
Power play
0/5
19
Penalty minutes
25
20
Hits
28
18
Blocked shots
12
5
Giveaways
8
1
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD022+400.09520—24:30
24T. HamonicD000-100.00120—22:42
7T. BrodieD000-220.01132—20:32
27D. HamiltonD022+310.09010—20:32
11M. BacklundC000030.090007319:04
13J. GaudreauL123+120.14002—18:17
19M. TkachukL101030.44304—18:11
23S. MonahanC112+130.570003818:05
26M. StoneD000010.06130—17:21
36T. BrouwerR000000.001006715:27
93S. BennettC112+130.33300015:07
67M. FrolikR000030.30022—14:34
61B. KulakD000030.03110—14:20
21G. HathawayR000+120.13020—12:51
77M. JankowskiL101+130.210104611:59
20C. LazarC000030.321103310:19
18M. StajanC000050.443046010:00
79M. FerlandL000010.13005—06:10
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Gillies(W)37352.9463.03+1.0359:59

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).