Utah Mammoth at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe Calgary Flames beat the Utah Mammoth 3-0. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Jankowski's goal at 2:48 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.1 to 1.8; shots on goal were ARI 28, CGY 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 41 of 44 (.932), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Mike Smith stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mike Smith (28 saves, 1.000), 2. Mark Jankowski (2 G), 3. Sam Bennett (2 A).
Three stars
- ★M. Smith28 saves, 1.000

- ★★M. Jankowski2 G

- ★★★S. Bennett2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals2nd period
0-12:48
3rd period
0-210:19
0-312:11
Penalties
1st
- 4:15
Brendan Perlini · Interferencedrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
- 18:47
Dougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min
2nd
- 14:53
Troy Brouwer · Cross checkingdrawn by Brad Richardson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Mark Jankowski, 2nd 2:48 — 53% → 69%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.80 G
- All situations
- 3 G4.1
- 1.50 G
- Even strength
- 3 G3.5
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.7
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.76 – 3.89
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 44
- 54%
- Faceoffs
- 46%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 14
- Hits
- 14
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 8
- Giveaways
- 5
- 6
- Takeaways
- 13
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
