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Vancouver Canucks at Dallas Stars

FinalTV FS-SW, SNP·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Dallas Stars 4-1. The Stars scored first; the Canucks answered. The Canucks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nic Dowd's goal at 14:43 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.5 to 3.1; shots on goal were VAN 27, DAL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Kari Lehtonen stopped 23 of 26 (.885). Three stars: 1. Jacob Markstrom (30 saves, .968), 2. Jussi Jokinen (2 A), 3. Mattias Janmark (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    J. Markstrom30 saves, .968
  2. ★★
    VAN
    J. Jokinen2 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    M. Janmark1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN1111828427
DALDAL11101109131

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    M. Janmark(19)SHG
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    16:54
  2. VAN
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    17:24

2nd period

  1. VAN
    N. Dowd(3)PPG
    wristxG 0.13win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    14:43

3rd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    3-1
    10:28
  2. VAN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.82
    4-1
    19:19

Penalties

VAN 6 PIM·DAL 12 PIM

1st

  • 3:07VANserved by N. Goldobin · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 4:14DALEsa Lindell · Interferencedrawn by Alexander Edler2 min
  • 15:47DALStephen Johns · Trippingdrawn by Jussi Jokinen2 min

2nd

  • 10:44DALTyler Seguin · High stickingdrawn by Reid Boucher2 min
  • 10:44DALTyler Seguin · High stickingdrawn by Reid Boucher2 min

3rd

  • 2:46DALCurtis McKenzie · Trippingdrawn by Derrick Pouliot2 min
  • 7:09VANTyler Motte · Delaying game2 min
  • 13:02VANMichael Del Zotto · Cross checkingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min
  • 14:35DALJohn Klingberg · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalVAN goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Nic Dowd, 2nd 14:43 — VAN 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.23A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.18C. McKenzie · On goal · xG 0.17A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.16A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.15J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.15M. Janmark · Goal · xG 0.15J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.14T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.14A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.10J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.09A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.09T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.09E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.09J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.09M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.08T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.08T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.08T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.08R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.06T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.06R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.05T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.05T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.05B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.05T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.04D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.04T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.03R. Elie · On goal · xG 0.03A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.02S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.02A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.02G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.02A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.02M. Methot · Missed · xG 0.01S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.01R. Elie · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01R. Elie · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.01A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.01M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.01B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.01M. Methot · On goal · xG 0.01
DAL1 G · 3.1 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsDAL
3.53 G
All situations
1 G3.1
1.21 G
Even strength
0 G2.2
1.32 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.30 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN44%56%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.69 – 3.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsDAL
27
Shots on goal
31
55%
Faceoffs
45%
2/6
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
12
16
Hits
27
13
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. EdlerD000040.25230—27:58
51T. StecherD011+100.00020—22:21
53B. HorvatC000030.350005319:15
89S. GagnerC000020.2600010018:55
20B. SutterC000020.110006318:32
22D. SedinL000-130.47000—18:17
5D. PouliotD011+100.02020—18:00
33H. SedinC000-100.001104017:44
4M. Del ZottoD011+110.18312—16:28
49D. ArchibaldR000010.09200—15:16
55A. BiegaD000000.00400—15:09
36J. JokinenL022+130.210005013:56
18J. VirtanenR101020.07210—13:50
64T. MotteC101+131.030125013:00
77N. GoldobinR000000.27000—12:55
59A. SautnerD000000.00220—12:54
17N. DowdC101+120.1400010010:10
24R. BoucherC112+110.06000009:20
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)31301.9683.10+2.1060:00

Season series

VAN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).