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Dallas Stars at Vancouver Canucks

Final/OTTV FS-SW+, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Vancouver Canucks 2-1 in overtime, Alexander Radulov scoring at 2:32. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexander Radulov's goal at 2:32 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.3 to 2.9; shots on goal were DAL 29, VAN 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Ben Bishop stopped 38 of 39 (.974), 2.3 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ben Bishop (38 saves, .974), 2. Jacob Markstrom (27 saves, .931), 3. Alexander Radulov (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    B. Bishop38 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    VAN
    J. Markstrom27 saves, .931
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    A. Radulov1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DALDAL091100713229
VANVAN01601111101139

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. DAL
    T. Seguin(7)PPG
    snapxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    3:11

3rd period

  1. VAN
    S. Gagner(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.22win prob +23 pts
    1-1
    6:00

Overtime

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +51 pts
    2-1
    2:32

Penalties

DAL 8 PIM·VAN 10 PIM

1st

  • 0:29DALAlexander Radulov · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Sutter2 min
  • 7:11VANSven Baertschi · Interferencedrawn by Remi Elie2 min
  • 13:53DALJamie Oleksiak · Hookingdrawn by Sven Baertschi2 min
  • 18:07DALMarc Methot · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Sutter2 min
  • 20:00VANThomas Vanek · Hookingdrawn by Gemel Smith2 min

2nd

  • 2:12VANThomas Vanek · Trippingdrawn by Jamie Oleksiak2 min
  • 8:18VANSven Baertschi · Hookingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min

3rd

  • 4:25DALMarc Methot · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Sutter2 min
  • 11:55VANJacob Markstrom · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Radulov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalDAL goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Alexander Radulov, OT 2:32 — DAL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Gagner · Goal · xG 0.22B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.21T. Vanek · Missed · xG 0.17S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.13D. Sedin · On goal · xG 0.13B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.12B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.12T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.11T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.11J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.11B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.11B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.10A. Biega · On goal · xG 0.10S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.09S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.09H. Sedin · Missed · xG 0.08M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.08S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.08H. Sedin · Missed · xG 0.08B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.08M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.07M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.07D. Sedin · Missed · xG 0.07H. Sedin · On goal · xG 0.07M. Del Zotto · Missed · xG 0.07D. Pouliot · On goal · xG 0.06T. Vanek · Missed · xG 0.06C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.05B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.04M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.04D. Dorsett · On goal · xG 0.04S. Baertschi · Missed · xG 0.04B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.03M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.03B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.03B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.02D. Dorsett · On goal · xG 0.02B. Sutter · Missed · xG 0.02J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.01D. Sedin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Biega · On goal · xG 0.01M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.01D. Dorsett · On goal · xG 0.01T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.00T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.00E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN1 G · 3.3 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsVAN
2.92 G
All situations
1 G3.3
1.91 G
Even strength
0 G2.2
0.71 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL43%57%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.84 – 3.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsVAN
29
Shots on goal
39
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/5
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
19
Hits
18
15
Blocked shots
6
3
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. KlingbergD000+100.00010—25:10
91T. SeguinC101040.493103923:58
47A. RadulovR112+140.52012—22:33
14J. BennL011010.113104321:29
2D. HamhuisD000010.00010—21:00
23E. LindellD000030.22020—20:52
29G. PaterynD000020.03100—20:20
33M. MethotD000000.00114—19:07
13M. JanmarkC011+120.170103619:04
17D. ShoreC000010.15230018:46
25B. RitchieR000010.09200—12:04
21A. RousselL000010.09000—11:23
18T. PitlickC000020.20110011:21
12R. FaksaC000010.011106411:16
90J. SpezzaC000020.260004211:13
5J. OleksiakD000000.00002—11:06
46G. SmithC000020.31200010:16
40R. ElieL000020.23310—09:03
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30B. Bishop(W)39381.9743.32+2.3262:32

Season series

VAN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).