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Boston Bruins at Dallas Stars

FinalTV FS-SW, NESN·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Dallas Stars 3-2. The Bruins came back from two goals down. The Stars led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Pastrnak's goal at 19:48 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 48% to 99%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.1 to 2.8; shots on goal were BOS 36, DAL 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 40 of 42 (.952), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Kari Lehtonen stopped 33 of 36 (.917). Three stars: 1. Tuukka Rask (40 saves, .952), 2. David Pastrnak (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jamie Benn (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    T. Rask40 saves, .952
  2. ★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Benn1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS010016310336
DALDAL117113012242

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.02win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    2:26

2nd period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn(28)SHG
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +18 pts
    0-2
    19:22

3rd period

  1. BOS
    D. Pastrnak (43), R. Nash (26)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    1:17
  2. BOS
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +29 pts
    2-2
    9:47
  3. BOS
    snapxG 0.21win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    19:48

Penalties

BOS 8 PIM·DAL 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:14BOSRiley Nash · Slashingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min
  • 14:03BOSRiley Nash · Boardingdrawn by Dan Hamhuis2 min

2nd

  • 1:26DALBrett Ritchie · Hookingdrawn by Riley Nash2 min
  • 12:38BOSAdam McQuaid · Interferencedrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 14:59DALTyler Pitlick · Interferencedrawn by Danton Heinen2 min
  • 18:10DALJohn Klingberg · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min

3rd

  • 9:10BOSBrandon Carlo · Boardingdrawn by Devin Shore2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalBOS goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: David Pastrnak, 3rd 19:48 — BOS 48% → 99%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.30C. McKenzie · Missed · xG 0.21J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.14R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.14J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.13A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.12T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.11T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.11J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.10A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.09T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.09R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.08D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.08T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.07A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.07A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.07M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.06D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.06T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.06M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.06D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.05A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.05D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.05S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.04R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.04A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.03S. Johns · Missed · xG 0.03T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.03S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.03S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.03S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.02R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · Goal · xG 0.02G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.02M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.01D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.01G. Pateryn · Missed · xG 0.01M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.01C. McKenzie · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.00A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.00G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.00M. Methot · On goal · xG 0.00J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.00D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL2 G · 2.8 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsDAL
3.13 G
All situations
2 G2.8
1.92 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.70 G
Power play
0 G1.4
0.01 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS47%53%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.59 – 2.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsDAL
36
Shots on goal
42
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
30
19
Blocked shots
25
3
Giveaways
7
0
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44N. HoldenD000000.00210—25:31
48M. GrzelcykD000060.19000—24:35
86K. MillerD011+220.07240—23:33
63B. MarchandL123+220.13110—19:57
43D. HeinenL000-120.12100—18:53
20R. NashC011+100.490344718:50
25B. CarloD000-110.13252—17:45
88D. PastrnakR112+240.37010—17:30
46D. KrejciC011050.410104416:43
54A. McQuaidD000+220.07122—15:52
17R. DonatoC000020.38100015:09
55N. AcciariC000010.072007115:07
59T. SchallerL101+130.330005013:10
12B. GiontaR000-200.00100—12:49
52S. KuralyC000020.053006411:35
57T. WingelsC000-120.241006009:46
14P. PostmaD000010.03100—09:41
21J. SzwarzC000-110.01110005:34
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40T. Rask(W)42402.9522.78+0.7860:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).