Dallas Stars at Boston Bruins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Dallas Stars beat the Boston Bruins 3-2 in overtime, Tyler Seguin scoring at 2:59. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Seguin's goal at 2:59 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — DAL 2.1, BOS 2.0; shots on goal were DAL 32, BOS 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Kari Lehtonen stopped 30 of 32 (.938); Anton Khudobin stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Seguin (1 G), 2. Jamie Benn (2 A), 3. Zdeno Chara (1 G).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals2nd period
1-03:49
2-08:15
2-116:28
3rd period
2-211:21
Overtime
3-22:59
Penalties
1st
- 6:29
Torey Krug · Interferencedrawn by Remi Elie2 min
- 10:13
Alexander Radulov · Holding the stickdrawn by Patrice Bergeron2 min
- 14:45
Radek Faksa · Roughingdrawn by Torey Krug2 min
2nd
- 13:44
Tyler Seguin · Slashingdrawn by Zdeno Chara2 min
- 20:00
Antoine Roussel · Roughingdrawn by Torey Krug2 min
3rd
- 11:45
Brad Marchand · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Tyler Seguin, OT 2:59 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.13 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.0
- 1.53 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.5
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.5
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.12 – 2.00
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 32
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 48%
- Faceoffs
- 52%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 32
- Hits
- 32
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 9
- 6
- Giveaways
- 7
- 13
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
3@
2OTthis game
3@
2Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
