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Dallas Stars at Boston Bruins

Final/OTTV FS-SW, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Boston Bruins 3-2 in overtime, Tyler Seguin scoring at 2:59. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Seguin's goal at 2:59 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — DAL 2.1, BOS 2.0; shots on goal were DAL 32, BOS 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Kari Lehtonen stopped 30 of 32 (.938); Anton Khudobin stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Seguin (1 G), 2. Jamie Benn (2 A), 3. Zdeno Chara (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    T. Seguin1 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Benn2 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    Z. Chara1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DALDAL0122100812332
BOSBOS0101131900232

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    1-0
    3:49
  2. DAL
    J. Benn (23)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    8:15
  3. BOS
    C. McAvoy (19), R. Nash (14)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    16:28

3rd period

  1. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +34 pts
    2-2
    11:21

Overtime

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    2:59

Penalties

DAL 8 PIM·BOS 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:29BOSTorey Krug · Interferencedrawn by Remi Elie2 min
  • 10:13DALAlexander Radulov · Holding the stickdrawn by Patrice Bergeron2 min
  • 14:45DALRadek Faksa · Roughingdrawn by Torey Krug2 min

2nd

  • 13:44DALTyler Seguin · Slashingdrawn by Zdeno Chara2 min
  • 20:00DALAntoine Roussel · Roughingdrawn by Torey Krug2 min

3rd

  • 11:45BOSBrad Marchand · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalDAL goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Tyler Seguin, OT 2:59 — DAL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.17D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.17B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.13B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.11D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.10P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.10D. Backes · Missed · xG 0.09D. Backes · Missed · xG 0.08R. Spooner · On goal · xG 0.07R. Spooner · On goal · xG 0.07D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.07P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.07B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Chara · Goal · xG 0.06C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.05R. Spooner · Goal · xG 0.05M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.05R. Spooner · On goal · xG 0.04T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.04D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.04D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.04P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.04D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.03B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.02B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.00B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS2 G · 2.0 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsBOS
2.13 G
All situations
2 G2.0
1.53 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL52%48%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.12 – 2.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsBOS
32
Shots on goal
32
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
32
Hits
32
13
Blocked shots
9
6
Giveaways
7
13
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. KlingbergD011030.11310—25:05
23E. LindellD000-120.09210—24:33
2D. HamhuisD000020.03040—23:25
91T. SeguinC101+130.281025723:13
29G. PaterynD000020.02010—22:39
47A. RadulovR101+230.45202—21:37
14J. BennL022+210.010005720:05
13M. JanmarkC000-200.0000010018:43
10M. HanzalC000-200.006205617:26
28S. JohnsD101+130.09210—15:44
12R. FaksaC000010.073122915:14
17D. ShoreC000-100.00210014:28
18T. PitlickC000070.43210014:09
21A. RousselL000030.24502—11:20
6J. HonkaD000+100.02100—10:19
40R. ElieL011+100.00200—09:33
46G. SmithC000+110.210004007:13
25B. RitchieR011+110.08100—07:09
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lehtonen(W)32302.9382.01+0.0162:01

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).