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Utah Mammoth at Edmonton Oilers

Final/OTTV FS-A PLUS, SNOL·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Utah Mammoth 4-3 in overtime, Oscar Klefbom scoring at 0:50. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Oilers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Oscar Klefbom's goal at 0:50 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.6 to 3.2; shots on goal were ARI 35, EDM 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 32 of 36 (.889); Cam Talbot stopped 32 of 35 (.914). Three stars: 1. Oscar Klefbom (1 G), 2. Niklas Hjalmarsson (1 G), 3. Milan Lucic (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    O. Klefbom1 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    N. Hjalmarsson1 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    M. Lucic1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ARIARI11301221000335
EDMEDM3170501311436

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:29
  2. EDM
    J. Khaira(11)SHG
    wristxG 0.36win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    8:01
  3. EDM
    slapxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    13:21
  4. EDM
    wristxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    17:04

3rd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    11:31
  2. ARI
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.13win prob +38 pts
    3-3
    15:21

Overtime

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.16win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    0:50

Penalties

ARI 12 PIM·EDM 10 PIM

1st

  • 7:35EDMAnton Slepyshev · Hookingdrawn by Luke Schenn2 min
  • 15:39ARINiklas Hjalmarsson · Slashingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min
  • 19:11ARINick Cousins · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min

2nd

  • 10:11EDMDrake Caggiula · Roughingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
  • 10:11ARIMax Domi · Roughingdrawn by Drake Caggiula2 min
  • 10:11EDMDrake Caggiula · Roughingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
  • 10:11ARIMax Domi · Roughingdrawn by Drake Caggiula2 min
  • 10:59EDMRyan Strome · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 15:02ARIJason Demers · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

3rd

  • 6:40ARIJordan Martinook · High stickingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min
  • 12:30EDMMichael Cammalleri · Trippingdrawn by Richard Panik2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalARI goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Oscar Klefbom, OT 0:50 — EDM 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.44J. Khaira · Goal · xG 0.36C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.31R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.27C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.23M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.22J. Puljujarvi · Goal · xG 0.17O. Klefbom · Goal · xG 0.16O. Klefbom · Missed · xG 0.13C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.13P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.09M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.08M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.05O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.04P. Aberg · Missed · xG 0.04J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.04O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.04M. Lucic · Goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03I. Pakarinen · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02M. Cammalleri · On goal · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.01M. Cammalleri · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.01J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.01M. Cammalleri · On goal · xG 0.01O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.01I. Pakarinen · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM4 G · 3.6 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsEDM
3.23 G
All situations
4 G3.6
3.03 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.20 G
Power play
1 G1.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI46%54%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.16 – 3.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsEDM
35
Shots on goal
36
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/3
Power play
1/4
12
Penalty minutes
10
30
Hits
33
18
Blocked shots
15
9
Giveaways
17
6
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23O. Ekman-LarssonD011010.06110—23:50
44K. ConnautonD000040.26520—21:07
4N. HjalmarssonD101+220.13032—20:33
55J. DemersD101020.07222—20:14
18C. DvorakC101-140.261105420:10
16M. DomiC000030.281045018:00
6J. ChychrunD000000.02210—17:53
21D. StepanC011020.191204017:05
2L. SchennD000000.00620—16:53
9C. KellerR000+100.000005016:29
15B. RichardsonR000040.661105015:23
48J. MartinookL000050.35102—14:49
36C. FischerR000010.17200—14:07
11B. PerliniL000030.22110—13:39
14R. PanikR011010.25100—13:28
25N. CousinsC000030.200225012:44
45J. ArchibaldR000000.0820010010:18
13F. HamiltonC000000.003003308:23
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(O)36324.8893.61-0.3960:50

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).