Edmonton Oilers at Utah Mammoth
Recap
written from the game dataThe Utah Mammoth beat the Edmonton Oilers 1-0. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Christian Dvorak's goal at 3:26 of the first period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals were close — EDM 2.8, ARI 2.6; shots on goal were EDM 40, ARI 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Antti Raanta stopped 40 of 40 (1.000), 2.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Antti Raanta (40 saves, 1.000), 2. Christian Dvorak (1 G), 3. Oliver Ekman-Larsson (1 A).
Three stars
- ★A. Raanta40 saves, 1.000

- ★★C. Dvorak1 G

- ★★★O. Ekman-Larsson1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
1 goal1st period
0-13:26
Penalties
1st
- 17:19
Adam Larsson · Trippingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
2nd
- 3:21
Adam Larsson · Slashingdrawn by Tobias Rieder2 min
- 15:22
Brendan Perlini · Hookingdrawn by Anton Slepyshev2 min
- 17:30
Milan Lucic · Interferencedrawn by Jason Demers2 min
3rd
- 0:34
Jordan Martinook · Slashingdrawn by Adam Larsson2 min
- 16:21
Jesse Puljujarvi · Holdingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Christian Dvorak, 1st 3:26 — 54% → 66%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.80 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.6
- 2.20 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.6
- 0.70 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.75 – 2.58
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 40
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 52%
- Faceoffs
- 48%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 25
- Hits
- 16
- 20
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 9
- Giveaways
- 8
- 3
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
EDM leads 3-1
2@
3OTFinal
4@
2Final
0@
1this game
3@
4OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
