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Philadelphia Flyers at Florida Panthers

FinalTV FS-F, NBCSP·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evgenii Dadonov's goal at 14:49 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were PHI 40, FLA 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.3 goals below expected; Roberto Luongo stopped 39 of 40 (.975), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Roberto Luongo (39 saves, .975), 2. Aleksander Barkov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Evgenii Dadonov (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    R. Luongo39 saves, .975
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    E. Dadonov2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI09014117140
FLAFLA2101917426

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(25)PPG
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    2:41
  2. FLA
    snapxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    14:49

2nd period

  1. FLA
    snapxG 0.15win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    18:06

3rd period

  1. FLA
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    2:47
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.10
    1-4
    16:39

Penalties

PHI 17 PIM·FLA 11 PIM

1st

  • 1:54PHIRadko Gudas · Interferencedrawn by Jamie McGinn2 min
  • 4:19PHIBrandon Manning · Slashingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 4:19FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Holdingdrawn by Brandon Manning2 min
  • 5:00FLAVincent Trocheck · Trippingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 7:59FLAJared McCann · Fightingdrawn by Radko Gudas5 min
  • 7:59PHIRadko Gudas · Fightingdrawn by Jared McCann5 min
  • 11:23PHIBrandon Manning · Slashingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

2nd

  • 1:26PHINolan Patrick · Hookingdrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min
  • 18:53PHIRobert Hagg · Slashingdrawn by Jamie McGinn2 min

3rd

  • 0:23PHIRadko Gudas · High stickingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 11:20FLAMike Matheson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalPHI goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Evgenii Dadonov, 1st 14:49 — FLA 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Haley · Missed · xG 0.18J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.16E. Dadonov · Goal · xG 0.15A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.15A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.14C. Brickley · On goal · xG 0.14E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.14D. MacKenzie · On goal · xG 0.13A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.11A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.09J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.09J. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.09M. Mamin · On goal · xG 0.08C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.08M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.08C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.07E. Dadonov · Goal · xG 0.07J. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.06C. Brickley · On goal · xG 0.06J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.05N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.05J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.04M. Haley · On goal · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.03M. Mamin · Missed · xG 0.03D. MacKenzie · Missed · xG 0.03E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.02A. Petrovic · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.02J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.01
FLA4 G · 2.7 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsFLA
2.31 G
All situations
4 G2.7
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI44%56%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 2.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsFLA
40
Shots on goal
26
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/2
Power play
1/5
17
Penalty minutes
11
22
Hits
25
14
Blocked shots
16
9
Giveaways
11
10
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000-160.16010—26:45
53S. GostisbehereD000-230.16110—23:19
14S. CouturierC000050.412004622:29
23B. ManningD011+140.07204—21:01
28C. GirouxR011030.150006420:52
8R. HaggD000000.00132—17:16
11T. KonecnyR101030.29100—17:07
3R. GudasD000-130.05439—16:43
93J. VoracekR000-110.0831010016:27
54O. LindblomL000-120.17120—16:17
51V. FilppulaC000010.191105514:31
19N. PatrickC000-110.061026713:41
12M. RafflL000-130.16000—12:55
29J. OduyaD000-110.03110—12:22
21S. LaughtonC000-110.0220010011:07
40J. WealC000010.15000011:00
15J. LehteraC000010.0520010010:54
20T. LeierL000-110.14010—04:27
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)26224.8462.67-1.3360:00

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).