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Florida Panthers at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV FS-F, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Florida Panthers 5-1. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Couturier's goal at 1:05 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 4.0 to 3.1; shots on goal were FLA 41, PHI 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Roberto Luongo stopped 34 of 38 (.895), 1.1 goals below expected; Michal Neuvirth stopped 40 of 41 (.976), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Michal Neuvirth (40 saves, .976), 2. Shayne Gostisbehere (1 G, 1 A), 3. Claude Giroux (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    M. Neuvirth40 saves, .976
  2. ★★
    PHI
    S. Gostisbehere1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    C. Giroux1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA015012114141
PHIPHI011415112538

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    1:05
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    7:35
  3. PHI
    C. Giroux(4)PPG
    snapxG 0.17win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    13:22
  4. PHI
    wristxG 0.24win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    16:16

3rd period

  1. FLA
    J. McGinn(1)PPG
    snapxG 0.19
    1-4
    16:10
  2. PHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.43
    1-5
    18:23

Penalties

FLA 13 PIM·PHI 17 PIM

1st

  • 8:19FLANick Bjugstad · Trippingdrawn by Nolan Patrick2 min
  • 13:10FLAAaron Ekblad · Hookingdrawn by Dale Weise2 min
  • 18:31PHIAndrew MacDonald · Slashingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min

2nd

  • 7:50PHITravis Konecny · Slashingdrawn by Keith Yandle2 min
  • 12:01FLAMicheal Haley · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Manning2 min
  • 17:10FLAMicheal Haley · Fightingdrawn by Wayne Simmonds5 min
  • 17:10PHIWayne Simmonds · Fightingdrawn by Micheal Haley5 min
  • 18:43PHIBrandon Manning · Interferencedrawn by Jared McCann2 min

3rd

  • 6:35FLARadim Vrbata · Trippingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 10:57PHIDale Weise · Slashingdrawn by Derek MacKenzie2 min
  • 13:49PHIJakub Voracek · High stickingdrawn by Connor Brickley2 min
  • 15:04PHIRobert Hagg · Slashingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalFLA goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Sean Couturier, 2nd 1:05 — PHI 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.71V. Filppula · Goal · xG 0.43D. Weise · Goal · xG 0.24V. Filppula · On goal · xG 0.20T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.19N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.19C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.18W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.16S. Couturier · Goal · xG 0.15W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.14S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.12T. Leier · On goal · xG 0.09J. Weal · Missed · xG 0.08C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.08S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.08J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.06R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.06S. Gostisbehere · Goal · xG 0.06W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.05N. Patrick · Missed · xG 0.05J. Weal · Missed · xG 0.05T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.04W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.04W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.03J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.03A. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.03I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03A. MacDonald · Missed · xG 0.03I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.03B. Manning · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.02A. MacDonald · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.01J. Weal · Missed · xG 0.01A. MacDonald · Missed · xG 0.01B. Manning · Missed · xG 0.00S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00A. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.00D. Weise · On goal · xG 0.00I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.00T. Leier · On goal · xG 0.00M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI5 G · 4.0 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsPHI
3.11 G
All situations
5 G4.0
1.80 G
Even strength
4 G1.4
1.21 G
Power play
1 G1.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA54%46%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.04 – 2.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsPHI
41
Shots on goal
38
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/6
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
17
22
Hits
13
10
Blocked shots
22
5
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
16A. BarkovC000030.171005225:42
5A. EkbladD000-110.08212—23:58
3K. YandleD000-120.10020—23:20
21V. TrocheckC000-250.370103321:14
11J. HuberdeauL000040.49100—20:57
63E. DadonovL000-200.00000—18:22
12I. McCoshenD000020.04010—16:15
6A. PetrovicD000020.05310—15:57
27N. BjugstadC011-240.340027115:27
19M. MathesonD000-310.15000—15:07
71R. VrbataR011-120.20102—14:58
13M. PysykD000-300.00140—14:56
23C. BrickleyL000020.02400—13:03
17D. MacKenzieC000030.242005012:33
88J. McGinnL101-310.32200—12:05
74O. TippettR000-270.41100—11:39
90J. McCannL000-110.021002509:50
18M. HaleyL000010.06307—08:54
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1R. Luongo(L)38344.8952.88-1.1258:22

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).