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Philadelphia Flyers at Florida Panthers

FinalTV FS-F, NBCSP·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Derek MacKenzie's goal at 9:19 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 67% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.1 to 2.2; shots on goal were PHI 31, FLA 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 24 of 27 (.889); James Reimer stopped 29 of 31 (.935). Three stars: 1. Derek MacKenzie (1 G), 2. Nick Bjugstad (2 A), 3. James Reimer (29 saves, .935).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    D. MacKenzie1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    N. Bjugstad2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    J. Reimer29 saves, .935

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI05010216231
FLAFLA1132608327

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:43

2nd period

  1. FLA
    snapxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    0-2
    9:19
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.07win prob +6 pts
    0-3
    13:52

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.07win prob +2 pts
    1-3
    12:28
  2. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +4 pts
    2-3
    17:58

Penalties

PHI 15 PIM·FLA 15 PIM

1st

  • 0:36PHIShayne Gostisbehere · Interferencedrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 1:15PHIBrian Elliott · Trippingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 7:44FLAAlexander Petrovic · Slashingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 11:14FLAMike Matheson · Slashingdrawn by Andrew MacDonald2 min
  • 11:14PHIAndrew MacDonald · Roughingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 14:30PHINolan Patrick · High stickingdrawn by Micheal Haley2 min

2nd

  • 3:52PHIScott Laughton · Hookingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 8:43FLAVincent Trocheck · Slashingdrawn by Robert Hagg2 min
  • 11:31FLAAlexander Petrovic · Fightingdrawn by Michael Raffl5 min
  • 11:31PHIMichael Raffl · Fightingdrawn by Alexander Petrovic5 min
  • 11:31FLAAlexander Petrovic · Roughingdrawn by Michael Raffl2 min
  • 14:52FLAVincent Trocheck · Trippingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalPHI goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Derek MacKenzie, 2nd 9:19 — FLA 67% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.89J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.51A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.16J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.15N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.15D. MacKenzie · Goal · xG 0.14A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.13C. Brickley · On goal · xG 0.13M. Haley · Missed · xG 0.13V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.11K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.11V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.11A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.11E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.10C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.10A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.10J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.08J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.08A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.07J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.07N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.07J. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.06J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04J. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.04A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.03A. Petrovic · On goal · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.02A. Petrovic · Missed · xG 0.02J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.01
FLA3 G · 4.1 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsFLA
2.22 G
All situations
3 G4.1
1.32 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.90 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI41%59%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.14 – 2.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsFLA
31
Shots on goal
27
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/4
Power play
0/4
15
Penalty minutes
15
23
Hits
17
18
Blocked shots
10
17
Giveaways
7
5
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000+160.11250—26:36
14S. CouturierC101030.283105824:29
53S. GostisbehereD011020.26102—24:15
28C. GirouxR011040.321005322:55
17W. SimmondsR000-120.43210—21:59
93J. VoracekR000020.15010—20:28
47A. MacDonaldD000010.01222—18:48
51V. FilppulaC000-100.002104717:26
3R. GudasD000-120.02120—14:46
6T. SanheimD000000.01120—14:42
8R. HaggD000-110.00300—13:51
40J. WealC000010.16000012:46
21S. LaughtonC101030.190021312:02
11T. KonecnyR011+110.07000—11:21
22D. WeiseR000-210.03300—10:56
12M. RafflL011+100.00205—10:51
19N. PatrickC000010.120124008:03
20T. LeierL000-110.01020—06:07
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37B. Elliott(L)27243.8892.68-0.3257:39

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).