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Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FS-N, NBCSCH·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikko Koivu's goal at 6:31 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 2.2 to 1.4; shots on goal were CHI 44, MIN 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Jeff Glass stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 1.6 goals below expected; Devan Dubnyk stopped 44 of 44 (1.000), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Devan Dubnyk (44 saves, 1.000), 2. Charlie Coyle (2 G), 3. Zach Parise (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    D. Dubnyk44 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    MIN
    C. Coyle2 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    Z. Parise1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI017012015044
MINMIN251707319

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:58
  2. MIN
    M. Koivu(8)PPG
    M. Dumba (21), R. Suter (29)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    6:31

2nd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    2:22

Penalties

CHI 13 PIM·MIN 13 PIM

1st

  • 2:47MINMike Reilly · Cross checkingdrawn by Lance Bouma2 min
  • 2:47MINMarcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Lance Bouma5 min
  • 2:47CHILance Bouma · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min
  • 2:47MINMarcus Foligno · Roughingdrawn by Lance Bouma2 min
  • 5:54CHIBrandon Saad · Holdingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 12:00CHIPatrick Kane · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Suter2 min

2nd

  • 3:53MINMathew Dumba · Holdingdrawn by Artem Anisimov2 min
  • 9:31MINMatt Cullen · Hookingdrawn by David Kampf2 min

3rd

  • 5:19CHIserved by V. Hinostroza · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 12:32CHITommy Wingels · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Devan Dubnyk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalCHI goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Mikko Koivu, 1st 6:31 — MIN 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.14T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.14G. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.13M. Koivu · Goal · xG 0.10J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.10C. Coyle · Goal · xG 0.08C. Coyle · Goal · xG 0.07J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.06J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.05M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.05R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.04T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.03E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.03M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.03R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.02R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01N. Prosser · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.01
MIN3 G · 1.4 xG · 26 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsMIN
2.20 G
All situations
3 G1.4
1.30 G
Even strength
2 G1.0
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI66%34%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 1.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsMIN
44
Shots on goal
19
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/4
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
13
13
Hits
14
10
Blocked shots
26
1
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. KeithD000-140.10000—23:00
7B. SeabrookD000-130.11300—22:31
88P. KaneR000-250.22002—22:28
8N. SchmaltzC000-120.080103320:22
82J. OesterleD000-130.14020—20:17
19J. ToewsC000050.570006219:15
20B. SaadL000010.0700210016:56
5C. MurphyD000010.03220—16:53
63C. DahlstromD000010.01000—16:48
15A. AnisimovC000-120.210101316:29
12A. DeBrincatR000020.04010—16:18
56E. GustafssonD000-130.08110—16:11
91A. DuclairL000010.07100—13:06
48V. HinostrozaC000020.05100012:59
38R. HartmanR000-140.212003312:52
64D. KampfC000000.000006112:43
57T. WingelsC000-120.03112011:09
17L. BoumaL000030.16215—07:33
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Glass(L)19163.8421.41-1.5955:33

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).