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Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV FS-N, NBCSCH·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Stewart's goal at 10:32 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 48% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.7 to 2.5; shots on goal were MIN 34, CHI 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Corey Crawford stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jason Zucker (1 G, 1 A), 2. Devan Dubnyk (36 saves, .947), 3. Chris Stewart (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Zucker1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    D. Dubnyk36 saves, .947
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    C. Stewart2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN0819417534
CHICHI06016216238

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.04win prob +24 pts
    1-0
    19:25

3rd period

  1. CHI
    T. Kero (1), P. Kane (5)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +30 pts
    1-1
    8:21
  2. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +33 pts
    2-1
    10:32
  3. MIN
    J. Zucker(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    3-1
    12:29
  4. MIN
    backhandxG 0.93win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    15:56
  5. MIN
    wristxG 0.48
    5-1
    17:59
  6. CHI
    J. Toews(3)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.09
    5-2
    19:04

Penalties

MIN 17 PIM·CHI 15 PIM

1st

  • 7:53CHIRichard Panik · Slashingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min

2nd

  • 1:08MINEric Staal · Slashingdrawn by Artem Anisimov2 min
  • 8:03CHIJohn Hayden · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min
  • 8:03MINMarcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by John Hayden5 min
  • 16:59MINserved by C. Stewart · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 3:24CHIArtem Anisimov · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Ennis2 min
  • 10:32CHIserved by A. DeBrincat · Delaying game bench2 min
  • 12:46MINMikko Koivu · High stickingdrawn by Tanner Kero2 min
  • 16:35MINDaniel Winnik · Roughingdrawn by Richard Panik2 min
  • 16:35CHIRichard Panik · Cross checkingdrawn by Daniel Winnik2 min
  • 16:35CHIRichard Panik · Roughingdrawn by Daniel Winnik2 min
  • 17:52MINTyler Ennis · Slashingdrawn by Tommy Wingels2 min
  • 19:44MINMike Reilly · Interferencedrawn by Jan Rutta2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalMIN goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Chris Stewart, 3rd 10:32 — MIN 48% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.34L. Bouma · On goal · xG 0.19L. Bouma · On goal · xG 0.16D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.12A. Anisimov · Missed · xG 0.11R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.10B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.10A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.10J. Toews · Goal · xG 0.09J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.09B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.09T. Kero · On goal · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.07R. Panik · Missed · xG 0.07J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.06M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.05L. Bouma · On goal · xG 0.05J. Hayden · On goal · xG 0.04B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.04P. Sharp · Missed · xG 0.04P. Sharp · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04T. Wingels · On goal · xG 0.03A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.03P. Sharp · Missed · xG 0.03D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03B. Seabrook · On goal · xG 0.03J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.03C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.03B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.02D. Keith · Missed · xG 0.02L. Bouma · On goal · xG 0.02A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.02J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.01P. Sharp · On goal · xG 0.01P. Sharp · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.01J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI2 G · 2.5 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsCHI
3.73 G
All situations
2 G2.5
1.82 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN47%53%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 2.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsCHI
34
Shots on goal
38
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/4
Power play
1/5
17
Penalty minutes
15
32
Hits
25
17
Blocked shots
15
8
Giveaways
10
10
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25J. BrodinD000+210.02110—23:25
20R. SuterD000+230.03340—22:08
12E. StaalC101+120.154023821:35
46J. SpurgeonD011+260.17120—21:11
16J. ZuckerL112+150.44300—19:52
24M. DumbaD000+110.02110—19:33
9M. KoivuC101+120.720027318:39
26D. WinnikL000-100.130524018:32
3C. CoyleC011+120.283005017:35
10C. StewartR202+251.35100—16:24
27K. QuinceyD011000.00200—16:21
63T. EnnisR011+120.08602—13:43
14J. Eriksson EkC011+100.001203313:22
22N. NiederreiterR000040.24000—13:12
7M. CullenC011+100.000203012:13
4M. ReillyD011010.06102—11:32
17M. FolignoL000000.00305—07:25
23G. OlofssonD000-100.00200—05:50
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(W)38362.9472.51+0.5160:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).