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Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-2. The Kings scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Paul LaDue's goal at 14:33 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 56% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.1 to 1.9; shots on goal were EDM 27, LAK 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.1 goals below expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Paul LaDue (1 G), 2. Connor McDavid (1 G, 1 A), 3. Adrian Kempe (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    P. LaDue1 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Kempe1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM0321509227
LAKLAK1615317528

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.02win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:10

2nd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    0:58
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    3:28
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.09win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    10:20

3rd period

  1. LAK
    P. LaDue(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.05win prob +33 pts
    2-3
    14:33
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.64win prob +4 pts
    2-4
    18:17
  3. LAK
    wristxG 0.48
    2-5
    19:00

Penalties

EDM 11 PIM·LAK 11 PIM

1st

  • 7:43EDMMatt Benning · Slashingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 16:06EDMJujhar Khaira · Roughingdrawn by Christian Folin2 min
  • 16:06LAKChristian Folin · Fightingdrawn by Jujhar Khaira5 min
  • 16:06EDMJujhar Khaira · Fightingdrawn by Christian Folin5 min

2nd

  • 3:02LAKKevin Gravel · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 5:30LAKDerek Forbort · Holdingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min
  • 11:40LAKChristian Folin · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min

3rd

  • 13:03EDMJesse Puljujarvi · Interferencedrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalEDM goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Paul LaDue, 3rd 14:33 — LAK 56% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Iafallo · Goal · xG 0.64A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.48T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.21D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.11T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.10A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.09T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.07A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.07A. Kempe · Goal · xG 0.07J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.07T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.06J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.06D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.05P. LaDue · Goal · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.05T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.05J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.05P. LaDue · Missed · xG 0.04D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.04J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.04D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.03D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.03K. Gravel · Missed · xG 0.03J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.03P. LaDue · Missed · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.02K. Clifford · Goal · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.01C. Folin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK5 G · 3.1 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsLAK
1.92 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.31 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM48%52%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.86 – 1.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsLAK
27
Shots on goal
28
63%
Faceoffs
37%
1/3
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
28
Hits
15
24
Blocked shots
11
11
Giveaways
11
1
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97C. McDavidC112-120.170104423:39
25D. NurseD000+130.19030—22:57
77O. KlefbomD011-430.12040—22:25
4K. RussellD000020.04130—22:13
29L. DraisaitlC101-350.390106022:05
88B. DavidsonD000-100.02230—17:22
18R. StromeC000-200.000006017:07
91D. CaggiulaL000-130.3160010017:03
2A. SekeraD000000.02000—15:36
83M. BenningD000-210.03132—15:22
13M. CammalleriL011+120.0811010015:05
98J. PuljujarviR000-210.01012—14:42
19P. MaroonL000-100.00120—14:01
27M. LucicL000-200.33410—13:02
16J. KhairaL000+110.097075012:12
55M. LetestuC000-120.031107510:43
26I. PakarinenR000010.01200—10:26
44Z. KassianR000010.04200—09:10
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(L)26233.8851.95-1.0559:20

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).