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Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-3. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jujhar Khaira's goal at 17:04 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 70% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.1 to 2.2; shots on goal were EDM 25, LAK 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Jonathan Quick stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (1 G), 2. Tyler Toffoli (1 G), 3. Adam Larsson (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    T. Toffoli1 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    A. Larsson1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM182918425
LAKLAK010110213333

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:51

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    6:16
  2. LAK
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    14:26
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.17win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    17:04

3rd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    7:51
  2. EDM
    R. Strome(10)EN
    wristxG 0.58win prob +3 pts
    4-2
    19:01
  3. LAK
    D. Doughty (34), A. Kempe (15)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    4-3
    19:42

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·LAK 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:59EDMAndrej Sekera · Interferencedrawn by Torrey Mitchell2 min
  • 6:46LAKChristian Folin · Interferencedrawn by Iiro Pakarinen2 min
  • 8:03EDMMatt Benning · Trippingdrawn by Tobias Rieder2 min
  • 8:57EDMDarnell Nurse · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 2:46LAKAdrian Kempe · Holdingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalEDM goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Jujhar Khaira, 2nd 17:04 — EDM 70% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.20J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.20T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.18D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.15T. Rieder · Goal · xG 0.13T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.13A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.12N. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.11T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.11A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.11D. Brown · Goal · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.09T. Rieder · Missed · xG 0.09T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.09J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.08D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.08T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.07D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.06T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.06A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.06J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.06N. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.06T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.05M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.05J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.04T. Mitchell · On goal · xG 0.04D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.03T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.03K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.03J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.02D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.02T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.01T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.01T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK3 G · 3.1 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsLAK
2.23 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.33 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM24%76%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.58 – 3.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsLAK
25
Shots on goal
33
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
19
16
Blocked shots
16
4
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. LarssonD011+220.03620—23:16
77O. KlefbomD000050.11010—22:52
25D. NurseD011+210.03342—22:38
29L. DraisaitlC101030.470003822:03
97C. McDavidC000030.320103321:33
27M. LucicL000-200.00200—19:20
55M. LetestuC000-210.001005617:57
4K. RussellD000-100.00140—17:42
18R. StromeC112+220.650001416:50
83M. BenningD000010.02202—16:01
13M. CammalleriL033+220.080004315:43
2A. SekeraD000-110.09122—15:29
44Z. KassianR000-110.02100—13:59
58A. SlepyshevL101+210.16110—13:35
98J. PuljujarviR000000.01100—12:38
16J. KhairaL101+110.170002009:00
26I. PakarinenR000+110.01200—06:57
91D. CaggiulaL011000.00210—06:31
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(W)33303.9093.10+0.1059:56

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).