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Oilers at Golden Knights
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸3
Vegas Golden Knights
2
Final/OTTV ATTSN-RM, CBC·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Vegas Golden Knights 3-2 in overtime, Darnell Nurse scoring at 0:53. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Golden Knights led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Darnell Nurse's goal at 0:53 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.0 to 2.0; shots on goal were EDM 30, VGK 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Reilly Smith (1 G), 2. Connor McDavid (2 A), 3. Marc-Andre Fleury (27 saves, .900).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    R. Smith1 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    M. Fleury27 saves, .900

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM0121111611330
VGKVGK0821301500236

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. EDM
    P. Maroon(11)
    D. Nurse (12), C. McDavid (36)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +18 pts
    1-0
    8:01
  2. VGK
    R. Smith(12)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    9:56
  3. VGK
    W. Karlsson(23)
    J. Marchessault (25)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +23 pts
    1-2
    19:53

3rd period

  1. EDM
    D. Caggiula(6)
    P. Maroon (13), C. McDavid (37)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +25 pts
    2-2
    3:29

Overtime

  1. EDM
    D. Nurse(6)
    D. Caggiula (5), L. Draisaitl (25)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    0:53

Penalties

EDM 17 PIM·VGK 11 PIM

1st

  • 2:53EDMAdam Larsson · Interferencedrawn by William Carrier2 min
  • 5:18EDMDarnell Nurse · Trippingdrawn by Brendan Leipsic2 min
  • 14:02VGKBrayden McNabb · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min

2nd

  • 1:47EDMMilan Lucic · Hookingdrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 10:48EDMOscar Klefbom · Interferencedrawn by James Neal2 min
  • 13:39VGKBrayden McNabb · Fightingdrawn by Zack Kassian5 min
  • 13:39EDMZack Kassian · Fightingdrawn by Brayden McNabb5 min
  • 14:41EDMLeon Draisaitl · Interferencedrawn by William Karlsson2 min
  • 16:55VGKShea Theodore · Slashingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min

3rd

  • 4:14EDMLeon Draisaitl · Trippingdrawn by Shea Theodore2 min
  • 9:05VGKWilliam Karlsson · Interferencedrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalEDM goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Darnell Nurse, OT 0:53 — EDM 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.34E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.15D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.15W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.15J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.13W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.12D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.12J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.10C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.09S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.09W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.09R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.08J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.07W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.07R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.07B. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.07R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.06C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.04R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.04W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.04P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.04C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.04J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.03D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.02D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.02W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01B. Leipsic · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.01D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK2 G · 3.0 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsVGK
2.03 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.53 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.20 G
Power play
0 G1.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM34%66%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.99 – 2.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsVGK
30
Shots on goal
36
37%
Faceoffs
63%
0/3
Power play
0/6
17
Penalty minutes
11
14
Hits
19
16
Blocked shots
3
7
Giveaways
14
9
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97C. McDavidC022040.442004325:23
77O. KlefbomD000+110.03132—23:02
29L. DraisaitlC011+130.340044422:04
25D. NurseD112+230.34212—20:53
4K. RussellD000-200.00340—20:25
19P. MaroonL112030.21100—19:26
6A. LarssonD000+110.11222—19:19
83M. BenningD000+100.01020—15:47
2A. SekeraD000-200.00020—15:38
91D. CaggiulaL112+120.15110—14:32
18R. StromeC000030.130002914:01
13M. CammalleriL000040.11000—13:40
27M. LucicL000010.00102—13:07
44Z. KassianR000030.06105—12:09
98J. PuljujarviR000000.00000—12:02
55M. LetestuC000010.010003810:20
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000000.000102210:02
16J. KhairaL000010.050005008:49
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(W)36342.9442.96+0.9660:53

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).