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Golden Knights at Oilers
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV ATTSN-RM, SNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Vegas Golden Knights 8-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's goal at 17:42 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 70% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.4 to 1.5; shots on goal were VGK 24, EDM 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Maxime Lagace stopped 22 of 29 (.759), 4.9 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (2 G, 1 A), 2. Oscar Klefbom (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    O. Klefbom1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK0517112224
EDMEDM31311147831

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    6:28
  2. EDM
    snapxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    17:42
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    18:39

2nd period

  1. EDM
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    10:19
  2. VGK
    wristxG 0.06win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    14:41

3rd period

  1. EDM
    Unassisted
    wristwin prob +1 pts
    1-5
    0:57
  2. VGK
    wristxG 0.17win prob +2 pts
    2-5
    1:22
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.04win prob +1 pts
    2-6
    4:58
  4. EDM
    wristxG 0.07
    2-7
    9:50
  5. EDM
    snapxG 0.17
    2-8
    15:38

Penalties

VGK 8 PIM·EDM 10 PIM

1st

  • 5:07EDMYohann Auvitu · Trippingdrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 7:10EDMDarnell Nurse · Roughingdrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 7:10VGKDavid Perron · Holdingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 15:55VGKJon Merrill · Slashingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

2nd

  • 20:00VGKJames Neal · Roughingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min

3rd

  • 7:09EDMDarnell Nurse · Interferencedrawn by James Neal2 min
  • 13:11EDMPatrick Maroon · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Dylan Ferguson2 min
  • 14:04VGKDavid Perron · Hookingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 18:13EDMYohann Auvitu · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalVGK goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, 1st 17:42 — EDM 70% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Klefbom · Goal · xG 0.20M. Letestu · Goal · xG 0.17R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.16C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.15Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.14P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.13P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.10P. Maroon · Goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.08I. Pakarinen · On goal · xG 0.08M. Benning · Goal · xG 0.07D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.07Y. Auvitu · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Auvitu · Missed · xG 0.07D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.07M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.07O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.05R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.05A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.04C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.04D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.04D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03O. Klefbom · Missed · xG 0.02K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.02K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.02I. Pakarinen · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.02K. Russell · Missed · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · Missed · xG 0.02A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.01J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.01O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.01J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.01M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM7 G · 2.4 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsEDM
1.52 G
All situations
8 G2.4
1.32 G
Even strength
4 G1.8
0.20 G
Power play
3 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK32%68%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.50 – 2.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsEDM
24
Shots on goal
31
63%
Faceoffs
37%
0/4
Power play
3/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
24
Hits
25
10
Blocked shots
11
10
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88N. SchmidtD011-220.10110—23:39
5D. EngellandD000-100.00320—20:48
3B. McNabbD000+110.02420—19:10
6C. MillerD011-150.10120—18:47
15J. MerrillD000-100.00002—17:51
77B. HuntD000-120.27010—17:00
19R. SmithR000-230.15100—16:49
56E. HaulaL000-110.012006716:39
71W. KarlssonC000-210.030006716:25
81J. MarchessaultR000-310.033002916:03
18J. NealL101020.22002—15:56
57D. PerronL011020.162043315:39
21C. EakinC000010.061007915:13
89A. TuchR000-110.0700010015:12
24O. LindbergL000-110.10000—14:11
41P. BellemareL101010.061107112:12
92T. NosekL011000.06210—11:18
28W. CarrierL000000.06300—11:09
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33M. Lagace(L)29227.7592.08-4.9250:27
1D. Ferguson211.5000.34-0.6609:14

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).