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Oilers at Golden Knights
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
1
Vegas Golden Knights
▸4
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, SNW (JIP)·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-1. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Marchessault's goal at 4:18 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals were close — EDM 2.4, VGK 2.3; shots on goal were EDM 29, VGK 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.7 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. William Karlsson (1 G), 2. Ryan Carpenter (1 G), 3. Marc-Andre Fleury (28 saves, .966).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    R. Carpenter1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    M. Fleury28 saves, .966

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM0901119129
VGKVGK11121017428

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    R. Carpenter(4)
    D. Engelland (15), P. Bellemare (8)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    13:04

2nd period

  1. VGK
    J. Marchessault(21)
    N. Schmidt (23), R. Smith (31)
    deflectedxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    4:18
  2. VGK
    W. Karlsson(30)PPG
    D. Perron (38), B. Hunt (12)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +6 pts
    0-3
    12:47

3rd period

  1. VGK
    E. Haula(22)
    J. Neal (15), D. Perron (39)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +1 pts
    0-4
    4:15
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(17)
    O. Klefbom (12), M. Cammalleri (16)
    slapxG 0.10
    1-4
    12:31

Penalties

EDM 9 PIM·VGK 7 PIM

1st

  • 7:48VGKDeryk Engelland · Trippingdrawn by Michael Cammalleri2 min

2nd

  • 11:28EDMConnor McDavid · Hookingdrawn by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare2 min

3rd

  • 2:11EDMBrandon Davidson · Trippingdrawn by Colin Miller2 min
  • 13:02EDMJujhar Khaira · Fightingdrawn by Colin Miller5 min
  • 13:02VGKColin Miller · Fightingdrawn by Jujhar Khaira5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalEDM goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Marchessault, 2nd 4:18 — VGK 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.35P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.26R. Carpenter · Goal · xG 0.20W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.17O. Lindberg · On goal · xG 0.14C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.14R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.11D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.10J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.09J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.09E. Haula · Goal · xG 0.09R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.07R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.05E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.05J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.04R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.03T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.03A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.02D. Engelland · Missed · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01D. Engelland · Missed · xG 0.01O. Lindberg · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK4 G · 2.3 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsVGK
2.41 G
All situations
4 G2.3
2.11 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM54%46%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 2.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsVGK
29
Shots on goal
28
63%
Faceoffs
37%
0/1
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
7
18
Hits
11
21
Blocked shots
15
11
Giveaways
10
15
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000-210.07230—22:16
77O. KlefbomD011040.09050—20:50
4K. RussellD000-100.02120—20:07
83M. BenningD000010.16000—19:55
97C. McDavidC000-120.080125418:36
88B. DavidsonD000-210.06122—17:58
29L. DraisaitlC101010.171106717:12
81Y. AuvituD000020.03030—16:54
18R. StromeC000-130.450002516:35
19P. MaroonL000-100.00200—15:54
91D. CaggiulaL000020.29300—15:48
13M. CammalleriL011030.3701010014:37
98J. PuljujarviR000000.00100—13:55
55M. LetestuC000-110.070206213:54
44Z. KassianR000-120.12110—13:53
58A. SlepyshevL000030.27000—13:46
27M. LucicL000010.03600—13:12
16J. KhairaL000020.160058211:19
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(L)28244.8572.26-1.7460:00

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).