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Coyotes at Ducks
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
2
Anaheim Ducks
▸5
FinalTV FS-A, FS-W·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Utah Mammoth 5-2. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cam Fowler's goal at 11:51 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 52% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 2.8 to 1.8; shots on goal were ARI 25, ANA 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Antti Raanta stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 2.2 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Rickard Rakell (2 G), 2. Cam Fowler (1 G, 1 A), 3. Antoine Vermette (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    R. Rakell2 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    C. Fowler1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    A. Vermette1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI1701018225
ANAANA2110639526

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    R. Rakell(13)
    A. Vermette (7), R. Getzlaf (17)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:02
  2. ARI
    B. Perlini(10)PPG
    A. Goligoski (16)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    11:04
  3. ANA
    R. Rakell(14)
    R. Getzlaf (18), A. Vermette (8)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    11:47

3rd period

  1. ARI
    C. Keller(14)PPG
    D. Stepan (16)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +26 pts
    2-2
    6:52
  2. ANA
    C. Fowler(6)
    J. Silfverberg (10), R. Kesler (1)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +33 pts
    2-3
    11:51
  3. ANA
    J. Silfverberg(10)
    C. Fowler (8), J. Gibson (1)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +6 pts
    2-4
    17:13
  4. ANA
    A. Vermette(7)EN
    R. Kesler (2), K. Bieksa (5)
    wristxG 0.95
    2-5
    19:09

Penalties

ARI 2 PIM·ANA 8 PIM

1st

  • 9:41ANAserved by R. Rakell · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 1:24ARIJordan Martinook · Hookingdrawn by Ondrej Kase2 min
  • 4:43ANARyan Getzlaf · High stickingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
  • 6:07ANAChris Wagner · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Antti Raanta2 min
  • 19:37ANADerek Grant · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalARI goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Cam Fowler, 3rd 11:51 — ANA 52% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Vermette · Goal · xG 0.95J. Silfverberg · Goal · xG 0.14J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.14R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.13C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.12A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.12O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.10J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.09C. Fowler · Goal · xG 0.09J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.08A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.08A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.07R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.05R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.05R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.04C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.04R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.04R. Kesler · Missed · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.03K. Bieksa · Missed · xG 0.02A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.02L. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.01R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.01K. Bieksa · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.01K. Bieksa · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.00B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.00A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.00A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA5 G · 2.8 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsANA
1.82 G
All situations
4 G2.8
1.30 G
Even strength
4 G1.8
0.52 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI48%52%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.76 – 1.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsANA
25
Shots on goal
26
32%
Faceoffs
68%
2/4
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
28
Hits
25
9
Blocked shots
22
16
Giveaways
16
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000-300.06300—22:46
6J. ChychrunD000-160.23130—21:38
33A. GoligoskiD011-210.11300—21:00
21D. StepanC011-240.392002819:38
9C. KellerR101-320.24000—19:13
55J. DemersD000-120.05000—19:06
16M. DomiC000-310.042003618:54
36C. FischerR000-110.11200—17:38
2L. SchennD000-210.02320—17:23
44K. ConnautonD000-100.00000—16:41
8T. RiederL000-300.17500—15:51
11B. PerliniL101-110.07030—15:09
18C. DvorakC000-120.051102514:31
45J. ArchibaldR000-100.00300—13:38
67L. CrouseL000-100.01000—12:15
10A. DuclairL000010.04000—12:07
48J. MartinookL000030.182027511:44
25N. CousinsC000000.00100009:57
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Raanta(L)25214.8401.84-2.1658:51

Season series

ANA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).