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Coyotes at Ducks
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
4
Anaheim Ducks
▸5
FinalTV FS-A, PRIME·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Utah Mammoth 5-4. The Ducks came back from three goals down. The Coyotes led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rickard Rakell's goal at 16:30 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 52% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.6 to 3.2; shots on goal were ARI 30, ANA 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Louis Domingue stopped 36 of 41 (.878), 1.9 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Rickard Rakell (1 G, 2 A), 2. Corey Perry (2 G, 1 A), 3. Clayton Keller (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    R. Rakell1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    C. Perry2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    C. Keller1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI21021505430
ANAANA19218214541

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    A. Duclair(1)
    A. Goligoski (1), T. Rieder (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:44
  2. ARI
    C. Keller(1)
    A. Goligoski (2), M. Domi (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    8:32
  3. ANA
    C. Perry(1)
    R. Rakell (1)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    9:16

2nd period

  1. ARI
    M. Domi(1)PPG
    O. Ekman-Larsson (1), C. Dvorak (1)
    wristxG 0.47win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    8:20
  2. ARI
    C. Fischer(1)PPG
    B. Perlini (1), A. Goligoski (3)
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +8 pts
    4-1
    13:50
  3. ANA
    C. Perry(2)
    R. Rakell (2), A. Cogliano (1)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    4-2
    15:23
  4. ANA
    O. Kase(1)
    J. Silfverberg (1), B. Montour (1)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    4-3
    15:54

3rd period

  1. ANA
    A. Cogliano(1)
    C. Perry (1)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +37 pts
    4-4
    13:45
  2. ANA
    R. Rakell(1)
    A. Cogliano (2)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +41 pts
    4-5
    16:30

Penalties

ARI 8 PIM·ANA 18 PIM

1st

  • 10:11ANARickard Rakell · Slashingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 11:40ARIAlex Goligoski · High sticking double minordrawn by Kevin Bieksa4 min

2nd

  • 2:46ANALogan Shaw · Kneeingdrawn by Dylan Strome2 min
  • 5:17ARIChristian Fischer · Slashingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
  • 8:12ANADennis Rasmussen · Hookingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
  • 8:49ARIChristian Fischer · Interferencedrawn by Derek Grant2 min
  • 12:17ANACorey Perry · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Louis Domingue2 min
  • 12:17ANAJohn Gibson · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalARI goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Rickard Rakell, 3rd 16:30 — ANA 52% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.46O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.15D. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.15C. Perry · Goal · xG 0.14J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.13R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.12N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.12B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.11C. Perry · Goal · xG 0.11O. Kase · Goal · xG 0.11L. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.10A. Cogliano · Goal · xG 0.10N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.10C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.09A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.09A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.09R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.09L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.08L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.07L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.07R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.06C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.06A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.05B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.05O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.04A. Vermette · Missed · xG 0.04C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.04L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.04R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.04F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.03F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.03J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.03L. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.03O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.03K. Bieksa · Missed · xG 0.03J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Bieksa · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.02O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.02O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.01A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.01D. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA5 G · 3.6 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsANA
3.24 G
All situations
5 G3.6
1.62 G
Even strength
5 G2.2
1.22 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI50%50%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.09 – 3.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsANA
30
Shots on goal
41
43%
Faceoffs
57%
2/4
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
18
18
Hits
27
11
Blocked shots
18
14
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23O. Ekman-LarssonD011-220.21300—24:35
4N. HjalmarssonD000-200.00020—22:09
18C. DvorakC011-220.380106222:03
55J. DemersD000-120.02220—21:52
33A. GoligoskiD033000.00104—20:11
9C. KellerR101-160.4201010019:44
21D. StepanC000030.330103319:07
16M. DomiC112040.78000018:56
10A. DuclairL101010.10000—15:39
8T. RiederL011-200.11100—15:32
48J. MartinookL000-110.03200—12:57
20D. StromeC000010.200003612:32
15B. RichardsonR000-120.201104512:28
36C. FischerR101020.173045012:22
11B. PerliniL011-110.09010—12:04
44K. ConnautonD000-120.05320—11:51
2L. SchennD000010.05100—11:09
67L. CrouseL000-100.00100—08:32
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Domingue(L)41365.8783.11-1.8958:17

Season series

ANA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).