Skip to content
Islanders at Capitals
NHL

New York Islanders at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
3
Washington Capitals
▸4
FinalTV MSG+, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Islanders 4-3. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lars Eller's goal at 16:39 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 52% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.8 to 1.4; shots on goal were NYI 38, WSH 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 2.5 goals below expected; Braden Holtby stopped 35 of 38 (.921). Three stars: 1. Lars Eller (2 G, 1 A), 2. Anders Lee (2 G, 1 A), 3. John Carlson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    L. Eller2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    A. Lee2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    J. Carlson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI11418116338
WSHWSH2111612419

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    T. Chorney(1)
    C. Stephenson (1), L. Eller (5)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:55
  2. NYI
    J. Tavares(12)PPG
    A. Lee (7), J. Bailey (12)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    13:01
  3. WSH
    L. Eller(2)
    C. Stephenson (2), M. Bowey (4)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    16:19

2nd period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(7)PPG
    J. Bailey (13), M. Barzal (5)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    16:18
  2. WSH
    A. Chiasson(1)
    J. Carlson (8), J. Beagle (3)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +21 pts
    2-3
    16:30

3rd period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(8)
    T. Hickey (3), J. Tavares (5)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +27 pts
    3-3
    7:00
  2. WSH
    L. Eller(3)
    T. Wilson (2), J. Carlson (9)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +40 pts
    3-4
    16:39

Penalties

NYI 8 PIM·WSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 12:55WSHBrooks Orpik · Slashingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 16:52NYICasey Cizikas · Hookingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min

2nd

  • 4:06NYIJason Chimera · Hookingdrawn by Christian Djoos2 min
  • 5:53WSHLars Eller · Holdingdrawn by Thomas Hickey2 min
  • 8:12NYINick Leddy · Interferencedrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 15:57WSHserved by N. Walker · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 2:50NYIAndrew Ladd · Trippingdrawn by Taylor Chorney2 min
  • 13:45WSHTaylor Chorney · Interferencedrawn by Nikolay Kulemin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNYI goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Lars Eller, 3rd 16:39 — WSH 52% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.17A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.14J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.14J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.09J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.09L. Eller · Goal · xG 0.09E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.08J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.08L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.06J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.05D. Smith-Pelly · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.05J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.04D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Chiasson · Goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.02J. Beagle · Missed · xG 0.02T. Chorney · Goal · xG 0.02T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chorney · Missed · xG 0.01J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.01L. Eller · Goal · xG 0.01T. Chorney · Missed · xG 0.01D. Smith-Pelly · Missed · xG 0.00
WSH4 G · 1.4 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsWSH
2.83 G
All situations
4 G1.4
1.71 G
Even strength
4 G1.1
1.02 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI74%26%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.69 – 1.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsWSH
38
Shots on goal
19
38%
Faceoffs
62%
2/4
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
12
Hits
10
20
Blocked shots
19
4
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2N. LeddyD000-230.08112—23:09
55J. BoychukD000-160.11040—20:58
4D. SeidenbergD000-210.02130—19:49
91J. TavaresC112060.770005319:17
44C. de HaanD000-110.03110—19:13
13M. BarzalC011020.310102218:19
7J. EberleR000010.06020—17:10
12J. BaileyR022000.00010—17:06
16A. LaddL000030.35002—17:01
14T. HickeyD011010.04110—16:23
6R. PulockD000040.09330—15:49
27A. LeeL213040.50010—15:44
72A. BeauvillierR000-110.03100—14:03
29B. NelsonC000-120.170001513:53
53C. CizikasC000-210.072025411:29
25J. ChimeraL000-100.08102—11:25
15C. ClutterbuckR000-210.10110—11:20
86N. KuleminL000-210.02010—11:13
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41J. Halak(L)19154.7891.45-2.5558:39

Season series

WSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).