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Capitals at Islanders
NHL

Washington Capitals at New York Islanders

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Washington Capitals
1
New York Islanders
▸3
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Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Washington Capitals 3-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew Ladd's goal at 0:36 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 5.0 to 2.9; shots on goal were WSH 32, NYI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 17 of 17 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Jaroslav Halak stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jaroslav Halak (31 saves, .969), 2. Andrew Ladd (1 G), 3. Brock Nelson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    J. Halak31 saves, .969
  2. ★★
    NYI
    A. Ladd1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    B. Nelson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH07015110132
NYINYI11021009329

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(9)
    C. Clutterbuck (6), J. Chimera (6)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:36

2nd period

  1. NYI
    A. Ladd(8)
    C. de Haan (9), J. Eberle (10)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    0:36
  2. NYI
    J. Tavares(18)
    J. Bailey (28), A. Lee (13)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    1:34

3rd period

  1. WSH
    D. Orlov(3)
    C. Stephenson (6), J. Beagle (6)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +4 pts
    1-3
    8:23

Penalties

WSH 6 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:17WSHLars Eller · Cross checkingdrawn by Joshua Ho-Sang2 min

2nd

  • 4:22NYIAnders Lee · Slashingdrawn by Madison Bowey2 min
  • 8:29WSHNicklas Backstrom · Slashingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 15:01WSHNicklas Backstrom · Trippingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

3rd

  • 5:00NYIJohn Tavares · Trippingdrawn by Jakub Vrana2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalWSH goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Andrew Ladd, 2nd 0:36 — NYI 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.88J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.23A. Ladd · On goal · xG 0.22J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.21A. Ladd · Goal · xG 0.20A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.16A. Ladd · On goal · xG 0.16B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.14A. Ladd · On goal · xG 0.14A. Ladd · Missed · xG 0.13J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.13S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.13M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.12B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.12J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.11C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.11M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.10C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.09A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.09J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.09J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.09J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.09A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.09C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.08J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.08A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.08A. Ladd · On goal · xG 0.07J. Chimera · Missed · xG 0.05J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.05C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.05R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.04J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.04S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04D. Seidenberg · Missed · xG 0.03A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.03J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.02C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chimera · On goal · xG 0.02A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ladd · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI3 G · 5.0 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNYI
2.91 G
All situations
3 G5.0
2.21 G
Even strength
3 G3.0
0.50 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH32%68%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.89 – 4.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNYI
32
Shots on goal
29
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
21
8
Blocked shots
17
13
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000-150.22000—23:32
8A. OvechkinL000-160.58000—22:26
9D. OrlovD101040.27310—21:56
19N. BackstromC000-110.092044720:16
92E. KuznetsovC000020.302104419:30
44B. OrpikD000-110.02020—19:04
2M. NiskanenD000-110.11100—18:29
43T. WilsonR000-110.0261010018:07
22M. BoweyD000030.13100—16:58
10B. ConnollyR000-100.15000—15:22
20L. EllerC000-230.120024015:22
13J. VranaL000010.07100—13:38
29C. DjoosD000-110.23010—13:35
65A. BurakovskyL000-220.37100—13:18
18C. StephensonC011+100.001005012:12
39A. ChiassonR000-110.17100—11:40
25D. Smith-PellyR000+100.00120—11:15
83J. BeagleC011+100.030007010:33
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer171701.0002.37+2.3735:13
70B. Holtby(L)1293.7501.71-1.2921:34

Season series

WSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).