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Islanders at Predators
NHL

New York Islanders at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸6
Nashville Predators
2
FinalTV FS-TN, MSG+ 2·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Nashville Predators 6-2. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Eberle's goal at 19:30 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 71% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.0 to 1.7; shots on goal were NYI 23, NSH 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 28 of 30 (.933); Juuse Saros stopped 17 of 23 (.739), 4.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. John Tavares (3 G), 2. Jordan Eberle (2 G, 1 A), 3. Filip Forsberg (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    J. Tavares3 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    J. Eberle2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI1721135623
NSHNSH06112112230

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    J. Eberle(1)PPG
    R. Pulock (2), A. Beauvillier (1)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    4:21

2nd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(8)
    K. Fiala (5), M. Ekholm (3)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    3:55
  2. NYI
    R. Pulock(1)PPG
    A. Beauvillier (2), B. Nelson (2)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    9:49
  3. NYI
    J. Eberle(2)
    M. Barzal (4), B. Nelson (3)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    19:30

3rd period

  1. NYI
    J. Tavares(7)
    A. Lee (3)
    snapxG 0.35win prob +8 pts
    4-1
    0:12
  2. NYI
    J. Tavares(8)
    A. Lee (4), J. Eberle (7)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +3 pts
    5-1
    2:52
  3. NYI
    J. Tavares(9)PPG
    N. Leddy (4), J. Bailey (8)
    slapxG 0.09
    6-1
    7:26
  4. NSH
    C. Smith(3)PPG
    M. Ekholm (4), C. Sissons (1)
    snapxG 0.05
    6-2
    13:57

Penalties

NYI 14 PIM·NSH 16 PIM

1st

  • 2:39NSHRyan Johansen · Hookingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 15:58NYIAnders Lee · Trippingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min
  • 15:58NSHserved by S. Hartnell · Delaying game bench face off violation2 min
  • 19:31NYIAdam Pelech · Trippingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min

2nd

  • 7:38NYICasey Cizikas · Roughingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 7:38NSHFilip Forsberg · Roughingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 9:43NSHAnthony Bitetto · Hookingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 9:49NSHserved by S. Hartnell · Bench2 min

3rd

  • 0:16NYIAnders Lee · Interferencedrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 6:11NSHMiikka Salomaki · Trippingdrawn by John Tavares2 min
  • 9:01NYIJason Chimera · Interferencedrawn by Yannick Weber2 min
  • 11:59NYIJohnny Boychuk · Roughingdrawn by Miikka Salomaki2 min
  • 18:22NYIBrock Nelson · Roughingdrawn by Austin Watson2 min
  • 18:22NSHAustin Watson · Roughingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
  • 19:57NSHP.K. Subban · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalNYI goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Jordan Eberle, 2nd 19:30 — NYI 71% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.19R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.11K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.10M. Salomaki · On goal · xG 0.10C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.09M. Salomaki · Missed · xG 0.08C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.07P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.07F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.05R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.05C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.05P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.04R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.04C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.03A. Bitetto · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Weber · Missed · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02M. Salomaki · On goal · xG 0.02S. Hartnell · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01S. Hartnell · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.01K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.01A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01A. Emelin · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01
NSH2 G · 1.7 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsNSH
2.06 G
All situations
2 G1.7
1.63 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.43 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI57%43%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.02 – 1.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsNSH
23
Shots on goal
30
39%
Faceoffs
61%
3/5
Power play
1/4
14
Penalty minutes
16
18
Hits
19
14
Blocked shots
8
4
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2N. LeddyD011+210.04110—24:19
4D. SeidenbergD000+110.03400—19:25
44C. de HaanD000-110.01230—19:19
55J. BoychukD000+110.08022—19:17
91J. TavaresC303+140.580004517:33
12J. BaileyR011010.08000—16:49
50A. PelechD000000.00202—16:14
6R. PulockD112+130.10100—16:03
16A. LaddL000000.04120—15:41
13M. BarzalC011+100.000106015:02
53C. CizikasC000010.071023314:53
72A. BeauvillierR022010.140004314:40
27A. LeeL022+120.31014—14:25
7J. EberleR213+240.38000—13:47
86N. KuleminL000000.03410—13:20
29B. NelsonC022+100.010123312:41
15C. ClutterbuckR000010.07120—11:50
25J. ChimeraL000020.04102—11:10
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41J. Halak(W)30282.9331.72-0.2859:56

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).