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Flames at Kings
NHL

Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸4
Los Angeles Kings
3
Final/OTTV FS-W, SNW·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-3 in overtime, Sean Monahan scoring at 1:02. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Flames led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Monahan's goal at 1:02 of overtime, which took the Flames' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 4.4 to 2.5; shots on goal were CGY 37, LAK 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 42 of 45 (.933), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dustin Brown (2 G, 1 A), 2. Anze Kopitar (1 G, 1 A), 3. Matthew Tkachuk (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    D. Brown2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Tkachuk2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CGYCGY21301011311437
LAKLAK01511022000345

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(1)PPG
    M. Backlund (1), M. Giordano (2)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +8 pts
    1-0
    3:56
  2. CGY
    M. Frolik(1)
    J. Gaudreau (5), S. Monahan (2)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    7:47

2nd period

  1. LAK
    A. Kopitar(3)
    J. Muzzin (2), D. Brown (2)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    15:44

3rd period

  1. LAK
    D. Brown(2)
    D. Doughty (1), A. Iafallo (1)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    0:14
  2. LAK
    D. Brown(3)
    D. Forbort (2), A. Kopitar (2)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +24 pts
    2-3
    1:58
  3. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(2)
    D. Hamilton (2), M. Frolik (2)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +31 pts
    3-3
    10:59

Overtime

  1. CGY
    S. Monahan(2)
    T. Brodie (3), J. Gaudreau (6)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    1:02

Penalties

CGY 12 PIM·LAK 14 PIM

1st

  • 2:54LAKAdrian Kempe · Interferencedrawn by Tanner Glass2 min
  • 8:35CGYMichael Stone · Hookingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min
  • 14:09CGYMatt Stajan · Holdingdrawn by Derek Forbort2 min
  • 15:58LAKDustin Brown · Interferencedrawn by Michael Frolik2 min
  • 16:43CGYSean Monahan · Hookingdrawn by Trevor Lewis2 min

2nd

  • 6:36LAKAndy Andreoff · Roughingdrawn by Michael Stone2 min
  • 6:36LAKAndy Andreoff · Roughingdrawn by Michael Stone2 min
  • 12:26LAKJake Muzzin · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 18:13CGYMike Smith · Interferencedrawn by Trevor Lewis2 min

3rd

  • 15:29LAKDrew Doughty · Hookingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 17:06CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Jonathan Quick2 min
  • 18:25CGYTroy Brouwer · Roughingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min
  • 18:25LAKDustin Brown · Cross checkingdrawn by Troy Brouwer2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalCGY goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Sean Monahan, OT 1:02 — CGY 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.25D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.21T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.19A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.17D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.17A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.16A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.15A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.15T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.14T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.13J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.12D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.12D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.11J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.11T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.10D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.10T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.09J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.09A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.09J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.09D. Brown · Goal · xG 0.09A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.09M. Cammalleri · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.07D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.07D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.07D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.07J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.07O. Fantenberg · Missed · xG 0.06M. Cammalleri · Missed · xG 0.06T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.06D. Brown · Goal · xG 0.06D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.06J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.05T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.05O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.05A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.04O. Fantenberg · Missed · xG 0.03J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.03J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Andreoff · On goal · xG 0.03M. Cammalleri · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.03M. Cammalleri · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.02O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.02D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.02A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.00J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK3 G · 4.4 xG · 62 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsLAK
2.54 G
All situations
3 G4.4
1.73 G
Even strength
3 G2.8
0.71 G
Power play
0 G1.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY23%77%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 4.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsLAK
37
Shots on goal
45
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/6
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
14
26
Hits
19
20
Blocked shots
9
11
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7T. BrodieD011+120.05030—26:03
5M. GiordanoD011-250.28270—22:46
24T. HamonicD000050.11200—20:36
11M. BacklundC011-100.001105220:22
13J. GaudreauL022+130.03000—19:44
23S. MonahanC112+220.320023718:22
26M. StoneD000-110.01302—16:59
27D. HamiltonD011010.10130—16:54
19M. TkachukL202+180.70002—16:34
67M. FrolikR112+130.27310—16:30
93S. BennettC000020.323006015:50
10K. VersteegR000010.1000010014:56
68J. JagrR000-100.13000—13:38
36T. BrouwerR000-110.03202—12:26
44M. BartkowskiD000+100.01310—12:18
79M. FerlandL000-100.00300—10:44
18M. StajanC000-110.012225510:10
15T. GlassL000-120.02120—08:14
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(W)45423.9334.36+1.3661:02

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).