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Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Calgary Flames 3-0. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anze Kopitar's goal at 11:55 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 74% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 2.5 to 1.7; shots on goal were CGY 23, LAK 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.6 goals below expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 23 of 23 (1.000), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Quick (23 saves, 1.000), 2. Anze Kopitar (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dion Phaneuf (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    J. Quick23 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    D. Phaneuf2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY070808023
LAKLAK08211110329

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. LAK
    T. Toffoli(24)PPG
    D. Phaneuf (18), A. Kempe (20)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:04
  2. LAK
    A. Kopitar(34)PPG
    D. Phaneuf (19), D. Brown (31)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    11:55

3rd period

  1. LAK
    J. Carter(10)PPG
    A. Kopitar (54), D. Brown (32)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +3 pts
    0-3
    8:24

Penalties

CGY 10 PIM·LAK 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:32CGYSam Bennett · Boardingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min

2nd

  • 3:59CGYSam Bennett · High stickingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min
  • 6:43CGYMatt Stajan · Roughingdrawn by Kyle Clifford2 min
  • 9:23LAKAlec Martinez · Roughingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min
  • 10:21CGYSam Bennett · Trippingdrawn by Christian Folin2 min

3rd

  • 2:53LAKTrevor Lewis · Holdingdrawn by Mark Jankowski2 min
  • 7:36CGYMark Giordano · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:44LAKChristian Folin · Trippingdrawn by Matt Stajan2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalCGY goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Anze Kopitar, 2nd 11:55 — LAK 74% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.17J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.15T. Rieder · Missed · xG 0.14A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.13T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.13J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.12J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.12N. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.12D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.09J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.09T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.09A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.08T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.08K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.08T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.06D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.06J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.05J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.05T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.04N. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.04T. Mitchell · On goal · xG 0.04T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.04D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.04T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.04D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.04D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.03D. Phaneuf · Missed · xG 0.02A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.02D. Phaneuf · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.01C. Folin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.01T. Rieder · Missed · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.01D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.00D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK3 G · 2.5 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsLAK
1.70 G
All situations
3 G2.5
1.20 G
Even strength
0 G1.3
0.40 G
Power play
3 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY36%64%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.70 – 2.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsLAK
23
Shots on goal
29
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
3/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
31
Hits
20
13
Blocked shots
14
7
Giveaways
4
1
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24T. HamonicD000010.03210—24:48
5M. GiordanoD000010.09232—23:12
26M. StoneD000020.05130—21:50
27D. HamiltonD000030.18200—20:40
11M. BacklundC000010.061105519:07
67M. FrolikR000020.20010—18:37
36T. BrouwerR000040.322006017:02
77M. JankowskiL000020.140105016:07
93S. BennettC000010.084066016:05
61B. KulakD000010.01110—16:05
79M. FerlandL000010.06200—14:33
25N. ShoreC000010.132103014:08
54R. AnderssonD000000.00000—13:25
20C. LazarC000010.05100013:24
8C. StewartR000000.07100—12:32
21G. HathawayR000010.12610—11:32
18M. StajanC000000.000026710:46
15T. GlassL000010.10400—09:56
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(L)29263.8972.45-0.5559:44

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).